GOP Polls for Jan. 13: State of the Race in Iowa & New Hampshire

The Rest of the Country

Rand Paul debate, Rand Paul polls, GOP debate

Rand Paul, seen here at the December 15 debate, failed to qualify for the main stage at Thursday’s debate and says he will not participate in the undercard.

A CBS/New York Times poll released Tuesday show Trump with a 17-point national lead over Cruz at 36 percent to 19 percent, with Rubio at 12 and Bush tied with Ben Carson at 6 percent. These numbers are consistent with their RealClearPolitics averages, which show Trump’s 35 percent share at a 16-point lead over Cruz at 19 percent, with Rubio at 11.3 and Carson at 8.

National Polling Averages (According to RealClearPolitics)

  • Donald Trump: 35%
  • Ted Cruz: 19%
  • Marco Rubio: 11.3%
  • Ben Carson: 8%
  • In PredictWise’s aggregation of the betting markets, Trump has pulled even with longtime leader Rubio, each taking 33 percent. Cruz dips a little from his weekly high to 22 percent, Bush holds at 10, and Christie rounds out the board at 3 percent.

    News of the Day

  • One more candidate jumped into the Cruz eligibility fray, with Rubio calling it a “non-issue.” Two law professors writing for the Washington Post also took up the issue, with Mary Brigid McMannon saying no and Johnathan Adler agreeing with Cruz.

  • GOP Primary & Debate Schedule

    Debate Schedule

    South Carolina: January 14, Fox Business

    Iowa: January 28, Fox News

    New Hampshire: February 6, ABC News

    South Carolina: February 13, CBS

    Texas: February 26, NBC/Telemundo/National Review

    Location TBD: March 2016, Fox News

    Florida: Date TBD, CNN/Salem Radio

    Primary Schedule
    Iowa: February 1

    New Hampshire: February 9

    South Carolina: February 20

    Nevada: February 23

    Super Tuesday (Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Dakota, Oklahoma,
    Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, Wyoming): March 1

    Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine: March 5

    Puerto Rico: March 6

    Hawaii, Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi: March 8

    Guam, Washington, D.C.: March 12

    Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, Northern Mariana Islands, Ohio: March 15

    Virgin Islands: March 19

    American Samoa, Arizona, Utah: March 22

    Wisconsin: April 5

    New York: April 19

    Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island: April 26

    Indiana: May 3

    Nebraska, West Virginia: May 10

    Oregon: May 17

    Washington: May 24

    California, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, South Dakota: June 7