With Ted Cruz announcing the suspension of his campaign after a win for Donald Trump in Indiana, the latter has all but locked up the Republican nomination for president. Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton lost to Bernie Sanders in the states Democratic primary but is still on track to be the nominee. With these two facts in mind, it’s time to start thinking about the general election.
Clinton is ahead in the latest polls comma amid betting Market speculation that the Democrats we’ll take the White House regardless of the nominees. However, most polls were taken before the likely end of the Republican race comma and the general election season may end up looking nothing like the polls.
Here’s a look at the state of the race:
Matchup Polls: Clinton Well Ahead
|RealClearPolitics: Clinton vs. Trump||Clinton||Trump|
While Trump is still behind in most polls, he’s made up significant ground after a losing streak dating back to February, in which most polls had him losing by double digits.
Favorability: Both Low, Trump Lower
Clinton and Trump combine for the most-hated frontrunner duo in favorability polling history. This is certainly bad news for Clinton, but there’s a ray of hope: she’s doing far better than Trump, who is the least-liked candidate since polls began tracking the issue.
|Hillary Clinton Favorability Ratings||Unfavorable||Favorable||Margin|
|Donald Trump Favorability Ratings||Unfavorable||Favorable||Margin|
Democrats Favored in the Betting Markets
The betting markets, as aggregated by PredictWise, don’t track hypothetical matchups, and likely won’t handle general election candidates by name until they’re named as such at the party conventions. In party terms, however, the markets like the Democrats’ chances, giving the party a 70 percent chance to take the White House against just 30 for the Republicans.