Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump will hold a rally in Tallahassee, Florida on Tuesday, his second rally in the state today.
Trump will speak outside the Tallahassee Car Museum beginning at 6:00 p.m. Eastern Time. The event can be viewed in the embedded YouTube player via Right Side Broadcasting.
This is the fifth straight campaign event that Trump has held in Florida. That makes sense, as this is easily the most important state in the 2016 presidential election; it is not possible for Trump to reach 270 electoral votes without Florida. Hillary Clinton has also been spending a lot of time in the state, not necessarily because she needs it to win, but because her campaign knows that to win Florida is essentially to deny Donald Trump a victory.
Although Trump was ahead in Florida not too long ago, following the presidential debates and the leaked Access Hollywood tape, Hillary Clinton now has the lead. In Real Clear Politics’ polling average, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 3.3 percentage points.
However, Trump has repeatedly said that he does not believe these polls and that they are being made up by Democrats. Trump says that he is going to win Florida based mainly on the size of his rallies. He also says he believes that the 2016 election will be much like Brexit in that people will be shocked when he wins.
“There’s going to be a lot of Brexit happening in two weeks,” Trump said at a rally in Sanford today.
Although it’s true that Britain voting to leave the European Union was a shocking result for many, the polls in that case were much tighter than they currently are between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. According to National Review, among 30 polls taken leading up to Brexit, 16 showed Leave winning and 14 showed Remain winning.