Brig. Gen. Dave Anderson of Canada told reporters at the Pentagon that after the Islamic State is defeated in its stronghold of Mosul, Iraq, its next incarnation may be more sinister.
Speaking from a coalition military base in Iraq, Anderson told CBC:
But the fall of Mosul does not mean that [ISIS] is defeated by any stretch of the imagination… Literally what we’ve been talking about is how do we position police forces and minister of interior forces in order to be able to fight the enemy the day after Mosul and its new metastasized form. We’re working on that pretty hard right now.”
Recent ISIS propaganda has been more about defense. In a video purportedly released by the Islamic State on September 28 titled “Endure and Remain Stationed on Ribat,” ISIS “caliph” Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi told his supporters to continue their cause despite recent territorial losses.
According to the Foreign Military Studies Office, “ribat” means “keeping watch over and safeguarding the border between the Islamic polity and hostile outside forces.”
In late September, Rudaw reported that the Islamic State no longer controls any Iraqi oil, making them have to search elsewhere for funds.
The terrorist organization is also aware of their impending battle for Mosul. According to The Guardian:
In Iraq, an assault on Mosul, which has previously been deemed too difficult, is now being seen as a reality for early next year. Iraqi forces that fled as the jihadists advanced have been reconfigured and galvanised. “Confidence has emerged from battlefield gains,” says a Baghdad-based US diplomat. “And while the Iraqis are feeling better about themselves, Isis is feeling worse. Everywhere they have tried to make a stand in recent times, they have been hosed out. They know it’s near the end.”
Mosul fell to ISIS in June 2014.