Presidential Polls 2016: Who Is Ahead After 2nd Debate?

trump vs. clinton, presidential polls 2016, latest, updated, winning, ahead

Donald Trump looks to catch Hillary Clinton in the polls. (Getty)

There has been no shortage of controversy over the last month of the presidential race. After two debates, Donald Trump still trails Hillary Clinton in the majority of the polls.

The Trump campaign did get good news in two recent polls. Trump leads Clinton by a percentage point in the latest Los Angeles Times/USC Tracking poll conducted in the week following the second debate. Another ABC News/Washington Post poll conducted over the same time frame shows Clinton with a 4 percentage point lead over Trump.

A Monmouth poll conducted October 14-16 has Clinton with a 12 percentage point lead. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal and FOX News polls were also more favorable to Clinton. She leads Trump by 10 percentage points in the NBC News poll and 8 percentage points in the FOX News poll.

Clinton has an 84.9 percent chance of winning in Five Thirty Eight’s polls-plus forecast. Predict Wise gives Clinton a 91 percent chance of winning in November.

Both candidates will participate in the third and final debate on Wednesday, October 19.

Here’s the latest presidential polls.


RealClear Politics Average

RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the Trump vs. Clinton polls. The average includes data from seven polls. The Monmouth poll conducted October 14-16, the LA Times/USC Tracking poll conducted October 10-16, the ABC News/Washington Post poll conducted October 10-13, the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted October 10-13, the FOX News poll conducted October 10-12, the Economist/YouGov poll conducted October 7-8 and the Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted October 6-10.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 48.4
Donald Trump 42.0

Monmouth

The Monmouth poll was conducted October 14-16. It has a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 53
Donald Trump 41

LA Times/USC Tracking

The LA Times/USC Tracking poll was conducted October 10-16. It has a margin of error of 4.5 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Donald Trump 45
Hillary Clinton 44

ABC News/Washington Post

The ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted October 10-13. It has a margin of error of 4.0 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 50
Donald Trump 46

NBC News/Wall Street Journal

The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll was conducted October 10-13. It has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 51
Donald Trump 41

FOX News

The FOX News poll was conducted October 10-12. It has a margin of error of 3.0 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 49
Donald Trump 41

Rasmussen Reports

The Rasmussen Reports poll was conducted October 12-16. It has a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 43
Donald Trump 41
Gary Johnson 5
Jill Stein 2

ABC News/Washington Post: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

The ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted October 10-13. It has a margin of error of 4.0 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 47
Donald Trump 43
Gary Johnson 5
Jill Stein 2

NBC News/Wall Street Journal: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll was conducted October 10-13. It has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 48
Donald Trump 37
Gary Johnson 7
Jill Stein 2

FOX News: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

The FOX News poll was conducted October 10-12. It has a margin of error of 3.0 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 45
Donald Trump 38
Gary Johnson 7
Jill Stein 3

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