Joe Biden Polling 14 Points Ahead of Donald Trump in 2020 Matchup

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Joe Biden appears at a rally with Hillary Clinton in August 2016. (Getty)

A new poll looking ahead to the 2020 election has found that a majority of voters would pick Joe Biden over Donald Trump.

This comes from a Public Policy Polling survey released on May 16th. Public Policy Polling is a Democratic polling firm, but FiveThirtyEight, which rates the accuracy of specific polling firms, gives them a grade of B+.

In this matchup of Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump, Biden captures 54 percent of the vote compared to Donald Trump’s 40 percent. Donald Trump in this poll also fares poorly against Bernie Sanders, with 52 percent of voters picking Sanders and 39 percent picking Trump in a 2020 matchup.

Of all of the prospective 2020 Democratic nominees that Public Policy Polling asked about, Biden performs the best, ahead of Trump by 14 percentage points. For comparison, Elizabeth Warren currently beats Trump by 10 points, Al Franken beats him by eight points, and Cory Booker beats him by seven points. And Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson, who has hinted that he might run for president in the future, beats Trump by five points.

Back in 2015, when there was still some question as to whether Joe Biden would jump into the 2016 presidential race, a number of polls were conducted placing Biden against Trump, and Biden won all but one of them. According to Real Clear Politics, among 11 polls released from July through October of 2015, Biden defeated Trump by an average of 12.6 percentage points.

So will Joe Biden actually run for president in 2020? Biden has remained coy about this possibility, but Politico reported last month that the former vice president and his staff are talking about how to begin planning a possible run. Biden also recently attended a key Democratic fundraiser in New Hampshire.

Publicly, in recent months, Biden has said that he doesn’t plan on running in 2020, but he has also not completely ruled it out.

“I’m a great respecter of fate,” Biden said on The Late Show With Stephen Colbert in December. “I don’t plan on running again, but to say you know what’s gonna happen in four years I just think is not rational.”

Biden has also said that he believes he could have defeated Donald Trump if he were the nominee instead of Hillary Clinton.

“I think I could have won,” Biden recently said, according to Philly Mag. “I had a lot of data. I was fairly confident that if I was the Democratic Party nominee, I had a better-than-even chance of being president.”

Biden ultimately did not run in 2016 because he said he felt that his heart was not fully in it.

“I don’t think any man or woman should run for president unless, number one, they know exactly why they would want to be president, and number two, they can look at folks out there and say, ‘I promise you, you have my whole heart, my whole soul, my energy, and my passion to do this,'” Biden said in September 2015 in an interview on The Late Show With Stephen Colbert. “And I’d be lying if I said that I knew I was there.”

Other possible candidates in 2020 include Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, and Kamala Harris.

Of course, polling this far out can only be so accurate, and Hillary Clinton was shaping up pretty well in the polls at this point four years ago. In April 2013, Gallup found that 64 percent of voters had a favorable opinion of Hillary Clinton. But by July 2016, at the height of the 2016 presidential campaign, Clinton’s Gallup favorability had dropped to 38 percent.