Ole Miss vs. Florida: Point Spread, Total & Prediction

No. 3 Ole Miss heads to The Swamp to take on No. 25 Florida. The Rebels rely on one of the best defenses in the country as well as an uptempo offense. The Gators are continuing to solidify their identity under new head coach Jim McElwain. Despite being in a number of close contests, Florida has done enough to win each game thus far.

According to OddsShark, Ole Miss is favored by 7.5 points on the road this weekend. Both teams are 3-1 against the spread this season.

The over/under is set at 53 according to OddsShark. When Ole Miss has been on the road, the total has gone under in 10 of the last 11 games.

Florida quarterback Will Grier is relatively inexperienced and will face a much better defense than Tennessee was able to throw at him last Saturday. Look for Grier to be under a lot of pressure in the pocket throughout the game which could lead to turnovers by Ole Miss’s impressive secondary.

The OddsShark computer is projecting Ole Miss to defeat Florida 25.7 to 18.3. In that scenario, Ole Miss would cover and the total score would be under.

Expect this game to be a close one early on with Florida getting an early bump from the home crowd, but Ole Miss will pull away in the second half. Football Outsider’s F+ Ratings has Ole Miss as the third best team in the country with Florida ranking 36th. The defensive pressure from Robert Nkemdiche and the rest of the Ole Miss front seven will provide headaches for Grier all day long.

Heavy’s Pick: Ole Miss 27, Florida 17. Ole Miss -7.5. Under the point total.