Sports

Lions vs. Vikings Odds: Point Spread, Total & Prediction

lions vs vikings betting odds week 12 2016 line point spread over under total thanksgiving game pick score prediction

Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford. (Getty)

Thanksgiving Day NFL Thursday kicks off when the Detroit Lions host the Minnesota Vikings in a matchup of the NFC North leaders.

Game time is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. Eastern from the Ford Field and it will be televised by CBS.

Here’s a complete look at all the betting info you need to know, as well as a prediction of the Week 12 game below:


Lions vs. Vikings Week 12 Betting Info

Note: All odds and numbers courtesy of OddsShark.com and are updated as of November 23

Spread: Lions (-2.5)

Betting Percentages: 53 percent for Lions (-2.5)

Over/Under: 43

Betting Percentages: 61 percent on the OVER

Season Results: Vikings 6-4 straight up; 6-4 against the spread; 6-4 for the UNDER — Lions 6-4 straight up; 6-4 against the spread; 6-4 for the UNDER


Prediction

Always fun to watch those Thanksgiving games, isn’t it?

If you’re a Vikings fan, though, football hasn’t exactly been too exciting lately. After starting 5-0 and flashing a lights-out defense, Minnesota has dropped 4 of 5 games while allowing 22.6 points per game over that span.

The Lions, on the other hand, began 1-3 and have won 5 of 6, including a 22-16 overtime victory at Minnesota in Week 9.

Now both teams are 6-4 and are tied atop the NFC North by 2 games over the Green Bay Packers.

Minnesota is coming off a much-needed 30-24 win over Arizona, but the Vikes’ offense was bailed out by the D and special teams, each of which scored a touchdown. But that’s been the M.O. all season as they average the fewest yards per game in the league while scoring just 20.5 PPG.

The Vikings have zero running game (league-worst 70.0 YPG) and Sam Bradford doesn’t exactly chuck it around the field either. He’s thrown only 2 interceptions, though, second-fewest in the NFL for qualified leaders. The Lions have tightened recently on defense, but there are still some holes in the secondary (22 pass TDs allowed). Bradford will need to take advantage of big play opportunities in passing game if the Vikings want to win this game. And he might have to do that without leading receiver Stefon Diggs. Diggs is questionable with a knee injury. His 67 receptions are third in the NFL.

The same can be said for Lions QB Matthew Stafford. Detroit’s rushing game is only a few yards better than Minnesota’s and hasn’t shown much of anything lately. The Vikings pass defense is still among the league leaders in sacks and interceptions, but Stafford did throw for 2 TDs against them 3 weeks ago.

Looking at some betting trends, the Lions are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games overall and also 5-1 ATS in their past 6 home games. The Vikings are 1-4 ATS in the past 5 overall, but 9-3 ATS in their last 12 on the road. Detroit is favored by 2.5 points on Thursday with a total set at 43. The UNDER has won in each of the past 4 Lions games and the OVER has come in twice in a row for the Vikings.

In the season’s first meeting, the Vikings were favored by 5 and the total was set at 42. Detroit won straight up 22-16, covering the spread with the UNDER coming in.

As for Thursday, the Lions are hot. And that’s directly related to a stingier defense, the ability to come back from 4th quarter deficits seemingly every game, and the play of Stafford, who has 11 touchdowns compared to just 1 interception in the past 6 games (5 wins).

It’s tough to beat a division rival twice in the same season, but the Lions are playing better overall football right now. It’s not going to be a high-scoring game as both defenses will make sure of that. But Stafford and the offense will do just enough to get to 5-1 at home and take sole possession of the NFC North lead.

The Pick: Lions 23-17 (Lions win straight up, Lions cover the spread, the UNDER comes in)


Fantasy Football Rankings: Top Week 12 Quarterbacks 2016

We've hit Thanksgiving Week of the NFL season, meaning there are 3 games on Thursday. Click here to see our Week 12 quarterback fantasy football rankings.

Click here to read more

Find out how to watch this game in Spanish at AhoraMismo.com:

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