The law of averages, as well as the Denver Broncos’ scoring issues, might suggest that Alex Smith and the Kansas City Chiefs are due for a cover at home at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs are favored by four points against the Broncos with a 37.5-point total in the Sunday night matchup at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
The Chiefs are 10-2 straight-up and 4-8 against the spread in their last 12 games at home, as well as 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games against the Broncos, according to the OddsShark NFL Database. The Broncos are 9-3 SU and ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less.
The Buffalo Bills are 3.5-point favorites against the Miami Dolphins with a 42 total. The Dolphins are 2-9 SU and ATS in their last 11 games on the road against the Bills. The total has gone over in nine of the Bills’ last 10 games.
The Atlanta Falcons are favored by 2.5 points on the road against the Carolina Panthers, with a 52 total. The Falcons are 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games on the road. The Panthers are 6-2 SU and ATS in their last eight games at home against teams with winning records.
The Green Bay Packers are favored by 6.5 points against the Minnesota Vikings with a 43 total. The Vikings are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on the road. The Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games in Week 16.
The Oakland Raiders are 3.5-point favorites against the Indianapolis Colts with a 53 total. The Colts, who are coming off a road win against Minnesota, are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after winning as an underdog. The Raiders are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games at home.
The Seattle Seahawks are favored by 7.5 points against the Arizona Cardinals with a 43 total. The Cardinals have lost two games in a row, but are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after consecutive losses. The Seahawks are 7-0 SU in their last seven games at home.
The Houston Texans are a one-point favorite against the Cincinnati Bengals with a 41 total. The Bengals are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against the Texans. The Texans are 2-19-1 ATS in their last 22 games at night.
The Pittsburgh Steelers are 4.5-point favorites at the Bovada sportsbook against the Baltimore Ravens, with a 44 total in the Christmas Day betting matchup. The Ravens are 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games in the late afternoon. The Steelers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games at home.
And the Dallas Cowboys, second on the odds to win Super Bowl 51 behind only the New England Patriots, are favored by seven points against the Detroit Lions, with a 43 total in the Monday night matchup. The Lions are 3-1 ATS in their last four games on the road against the Cowboys. The Cowboys are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games at home against teams with winning records.