Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers have had their difficulties over the years against the New York Giants, who they face in an NFC wild card game on Sunday. The Packers are listed as 4.5-point favorites on the NFL lines against the Giants with a 44.5-point total, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
The Packers are just 2-6 against the spread in their last eight home playoff games as the favorite. The pesky Giants are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games against the Packers, and over the long term are 7-2 ATS in their last nine wild-card games. And, of course, the Giants’ road to Super Bowl titles in 2007 and 2011 went through Green Bay.
Rodgers has been red-hot during the Packers’ six-game win streak. The Giants have strong pass coverage held together by FS Landon Collins. Veteran QB Eli Manning and the Giants’ offense have struggled to score consistently. The total has gone under in five of the Giants’ last six playoff games.
The Pittsburgh Steelers, at a 9.5 % chance to win the Super Bowl at PredictionMachine.com, are favored by 10 points against the Miami Dolphins and the total is 47 in the early Sunday AFC wild card game. The Dolphins are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 10 points or more, but will likely have a limited offense if forced to go with backup QB Matt Moore again.
Ben Roethlisberger was injured when the Dolphins won the teams’ first matchup and the Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as the favorite. The total has gone over in six consecutive Dolphins games.
The Seattle Seahawks are eight-point favorites against the Detroit Lions with a 42.5-point total in the NFC game on Saturday night. Behind QB Russell Wilson, the Seahawks are 4-0-1 SU this season in primetime games. To win, the Lions and QB Matthew Stafford would have to defy a long-term trend – the franchise’s 0-8 SU record in its last eight playoff games.
The Houston Texans are 3.5-point favorites against the Oakland Raiders with a season-low 36.5-point total. The Texans, who will be starting backup QB Brock Osweiler, are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as the favorite. The Raiders, who will make rookie Connor Cook the first QB to make his first NFL start in the playoffs, are 2-9 SU in their last 11 road games against teams with winning records. The total has gone under in nine of the Texans’ last 12 home games.
The favored team is 3-7-2 ATS in the last three years in wild card games. The visiting team won all four wild card games last year. Wild card games are 3-12-1 OU in the last four years.
The lowest surviving seeds in AFC and NFC, respectively, go on the road to play the New England Patriots and Dallas Cowboys in the divisional round on January 14 or 15. The second-lowest survivors will meet the Kansas City Chiefs and Atlanta Falcons.