Both Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons and Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks drag some inauspicious trends into their playoff matchup on Saturday.
The Falcons are listed as five-point favorites against the Seahawks on the NFL point spreads with a 51-point total at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com for their NFC divisional round matchup on Saturday.
The Falcons are 1-5 straight-up and 0-6 against the spread in their last six games in the playoffs, while the Seahawks are 0-8 SU in their last eight playoff games as the underdog.
Ryan and the Falcons boast a historically productive offense that should present a challenge to the Seahawks, who despite shutdown coverage from CB Richard Sherman have been vulnerable to downfield passes in recent weeks. Atlanta is just 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS in its last 10 home games as a favorite of 5.5 points or less and has struggled all season in run defense, which suggests that the Seahawks might be able to furnish a ground game to complement quarterback Russell Wilson.
The total has gone over in six of the Seahawks’ last seven games in the divisional round.
The New England Patriots, leading the odds to win Super Bowl 51, are listed as 15-point favorites against the Houston Texans with a 44.5-point total in the AFC divisional betting matchup on Saturday. The Patriots, who are 17-3 SU in their last 20 playoff games as home favorites, might simplify their game plan by relying on RB LeGarrette Blount to grind down the Texans’ defense, which is below-average at stopping the run.
Houston and QB Brock Osweiler were shut out in their regular-season loss against the Patriots in Week 3. The Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs. The total has gone over in six of the Texans’ last eight games against the Patriots.
The Kansas City Chiefs are 1.5-point favorites on the NFL lines against the Pittsburgh Steelers with a 44.5-point total in the AFC divisional round matchup on Sunday.
The Steelers, led by QB Ben Roethlisberger, RB Le’Veon Bell and WR Antonio Brown, are 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS over their last eight games. The Chiefs are 11-2 SU in their last 13 home games, but considering their difficulties stopping the run and the matchup against Bell, their 1-9 ATS record over their last 10 playoff games might be more relevant.
The total has gone under in four of the Steelers’ last five games against the Chiefs.
And the Dallas Cowboys are 4.5-point betting favorites against the Green Bay Packers, with a 52-point total in their NFC divisional round matchup on Sunday. Dallas seems poised to end an 0-4 SU slide in the divisional playoffs, what with having a premier offensive line to help furnish a balanced offense built around RB Ezekiel Elliott and QB Dak Prescott.
That said, QB Aaron Rodgers’ experience and the pass protection in front of him are great equalizers for the underdog Packers, who happen to be 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a playoff underdog. The total has gone over in five of the Packers’ last six games on the road.
In the last four years the favored team has only lost SU twice in the divisional round, going 14-2 SU. However, in the last three years the visiting team is 7-3-2 ATS in the divisional round.