But not enough that next weekend’s Divisional round game still doesn’t feature a historically large spread.
Here’s a complete look at the line and betting trends:
Texans vs. Patriots Divisional Round Betting Information
Line: Patriots (-15)
Percentage of Bets: 59 percent on Patriots (-15)
Percentage of Bets: 57 percent on the Over
Texans vs. Patriots Betting Trends
In terms of a spread this large in the playoffs, there isn’t a lot of recent history:
When the Pats opened as 16-point favorites, it marked the largest spread in playoff history since 1998 when the Minnesota Vikings were favored by 16.5 points–and won by 20–over the Arizona Cardinals.
This season, the Patriots were favored by double-digits four times. They went 4-0 in those games, covering the spread on every single occasion. Meanwhile, the biggest spread the Texans faced as underdogs was +8 at Denver in Week 7, a game they ultimately lost by 18 points.
New England went 6-2 overall and 6-2 against the spread at home this year, while Houston went 2-6 overall and against the spread on the road. Moreover, the Texans are just 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games overall.
In terms of head-to-head, the Patriots have won seven of eight matchups against the Texans and gone 6-2 against the spread in those games.