USA vs. Portugal Odds: 5 Fast Facts You Need to Know

Ghana v USA: Group G - 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil

The United States and Portugal are about to square off in one of the most-watched and most-bet-on games of the World Cup.

Here’s how the oddsmakers are sizing up the game:

1. Portugal Is Favored

Ronaldo ref Germany game


The latest odds from Paddy Power have Portugal as a slight 10/11 favorite, with the U.S. at 3/1 to win and the teams at 11/4 to draw.

Bovada has Portugal as a 5/6 favorite, with odds of a U.S. win at 13/5 and a draw at 31/10.

2. Cristiana Ronaldo Is the Most Likely Goal Scorer

Portugal Ronaldo Germany


Despite being hobbled by a knee injury, Portuguese superstar Cristiano Ronaldo is the best bet at Paddy Power to score a goal.

Paddy Power is offering odds of 4/7 that Ronaldo will score a goal at some point during the game and 13/5 that he’ll score the first goal.

The oddsmaker has two of Ronaldo’s teammates — Eder and Nani — as the next most likely goal scorers. Eder is at 21/10 to score and 7/1 to score first, while Nani is at 5/2 and 8/1, respectively.

American captain Clint Dempsey, who scored the first U.S. goal in the team’s 2-1 win over Ghana last week is the most likely American and the fourth most likely player on either team to score, with odds of 3/1 that he’ll score and 9/1 that he’ll score the game’s first goal.

3. The Final Score With the Best Odds is a 1-1 Draw

None of the top five score combinations with the best odds at Paddy Power involve the United States winning. The final score combinations are as follows:

1-1 Draw: 6/1
1-0 Portugal win: 7/1
2-0 Portugal win: 9/1
0-0 Draw: 10/1
2-1 Portugal win: 15/2
2-1 USA win: 11/1
1-0 USA win: 12/1
3-0 Portugal win: 16/1
2-0 USA win: 22/1

4. The U.S. Is a 150/1 Longshot to Win the World Cup

John Brooks, John Anthony Brooks goal

Despite Portugal having already lost a match in group play and the U.S. coming in unbeaten, Paddy Power lists the U.S. as a 150/1 longshot to win the tournament, while Portugal is at a much more modest 40/1.

Brazil is the favorite to win the tournament at 10/3, followed by Germany at 7/2 and Argentina at 4/1. The longest shots in the field are Iran and Honduras, both of whom have odds of 1,000/1 at Paddy Power.

5. FivethirtyEight Has the Game As a Virtual Toss-up

The probability gurus over at Fivethirtyeight give the U.S. a better shot at winning than most oddsmakers.

The site says the U.S. has a 35 percent chance to win, only slightly lower than the 36 percent chance the site gives Portugal.

Check out a gallery of the full U.S. roster here.

Check out all Heavy’s World Cup coverage here.