Democratic Primary Results & Delegate Count 2016

Hillary Clinton polls, Hillary Clinton South Carolina, Hillary Clinton delegates

Hillary Clinton, here campaigning in Texas, has won two of the first three primary contests and has a wide lead in unpledged or “super” delegates. (Getty)

After the first three primary contests, a tight race between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders looked to be breaking in Clinton’s favor. Clinton narrowly won the Iowa caucus and lost the New Hampshire primary by a wide margin, but regained steam following a victory in the Nevada caucus and won convincingly in the majority of Super Tuesday states. However, a big win in Michigan put Bernie back within striking distance. Meanwhile, the unpledged delegates, colloquially known as “superdelegates”, swing massively in Clinton’s favor.

Delegate Count 2,382 Needed to Win
HIllary Clinton 1,221
Bernie Sanders 571

Here’s a look at the state of the race:

Pledged Delegates: Clinton Ahead, but Bernie’s Not Out

Pledged Delegates
Hillary Clinton 745
Bernie Sanders 540

Clinton is ahead in the count of “pledged” delegates, or those required to vote for a candidate as a result of their state primary or caucus. Here’s how it got that way:

Iowa Popular Vote Delegates
Hillary Clinton 49.9% 23
Bernie Sanders 49.6% 21

Iowa delegates are distributed by county, not according to the popular vote, meaning that Clinton got a roughly 2.5 percent higher share of delegates than the popular vote might suggest.

New Hampshire Popular Vote Delegates
Bernie Sanders 60.4% 15
Hillary Clinton 30.8% 9

Sanders’s decisive win in New Hampshire briefly gave him a 4-delegate edge in pledged delegates and added momentum to his campaign. Because New Hampshire allocates delegates more closely to the total state vote, the vote totals are roughly in line with the popular results.

Clinton’s result in Nevada evened out the race:

Nevada Popular Vote Delegates
Hillary Clinton 52.6% 19
Bernie Sanders 47.3% 15

Then came Super Tuesday, a huge swing in Clinton’s favor:

Alabama Popular Vote Delegates
Hillary Clinton 77.8% 44
Bernie Sanders 19.2% 9


American Samoa Popular Vote Delegates
Hillary Clinton 68.4% 4
Bernie Sanders 25.7% 2


Arkansas Popular Vote Delegates
Hillary Clinton 66.3% 22
Bernie Sanders 29.7% 10


Colorado Popular Vote Delegates
Bernie Sanders 59% 38
Hillary Clinton 40.3% 28


Georgia Popular Vote Delegates
Hillary Clinton 71.3% 72
Bernie Sanders 28.2% 28


Massachusetts Popular Vote Delegates
Hillary Clinton 50.1% 46
Bernie Sanders 48.7% 45


Minnesota Popular Vote Delegates
Bernie Sanders 61.6% 46
Hillary Clinton 38.4% 29


Oklahoma Popular Vote Delegates
Bernie Sanders 51.9% 21
Hillary Clinton 41.5% 17


Tennessee Popular Vote Delegates
Hillary Clinton 66.1% 42
Bernie Sanders 32.4% 22


Texas Popular Vote Delegates
Hillary Clinton 65.2% 145
Bernie Sanders 33.2% 74


Vermont Popular Vote Delegates
Bernie Sanders 86.1% 16
Hillary Clinton 13.6% 0


Virginia Popular Vote Delegates
Hillary Clinton 64.3% 61
Bernie Sanders 35.2% 33

“Super Saturday” and the next day’s Maine caucus gave the majority of delegates to Sanders, but not by enough to make a deep cut in Clinton’s lead:

Kansas Popular Vote Delegates
Bernie Sanders 67.7% 23
Hillary Clinton 32.3% 10


Nebraska Popular Vote Delegates
Bernie Sanders 57.1% 14
Hillary Clinton 42.9% 10


Louisiana Popular Vote Delegates
Hillary Clinton 71.1% 35
Bernie Sanders 23.2% 12


Maine Popular Vote Delegates
Bernie Sanders 64.3% 15
Hillary Clinton 35.5% 7

Then, on a night that was supposed to put Sanders on the ropes, he responded with a historic upset on March 8 (though Hillary still increased her lead):

Michigan Popular Vote Delegates
Bernie Sanders 49.8% 65
Hillary Clinton 48.3% 58


Mississippi Popular Vote Delegates
Hillary Clinton 82.6% 29
Bernie Sanders 16.5% 4

‘Superdelegates’ Give Clinton Wide Lead in Controversial Process

The Democratic party allows some veteran party officials to sit at the Democratic National Convention without being selected by their state party committee and regardless of who voters in that state’s primary or caucus voted for. These unpledged delegates, or “superdelegates,” are free to choose whomever they want for the party’s Presidential nominee. So far, Hillary has the endorsement of 449 of the Democratic Party’s 712 superdelegates, putting her more than 18 percent of the way to the 2,382 delegates needed to secure the nomination:

Unpledged Delegate Count 712 Total
Hillary Clinton 461
Bernie Sanders 25

It’s important to note, however, that superdelegate endorsements are not secure until they become votes at the convention, before which the delegates are free to change their minds. Superdelegates from New Hampshire, where the total delegate count is tied despite Sanders’s runaway win, may do just that in the face of a massive public outcry, including from the state’s Republicans. Moreover, if Sanders can pull out more upsets like he did in Michigan, he may be able to sway more superdelegates.

Looking Ahead: Will the Polls Hold Out?

Sanders had a historic upset in Michigan, which adds a lot of hope to his campaign; unfortunately, he’ll need to do what no one else has ever done over and over again to win the nomination. Clinton has huge leads in neighboring states, including 37 points in Illinois and 20 in Ohio. She’s also leading California by 13.5 and Florida by 29.3. That’s just to stem the Clinton lead, not to actually shrink it; the Democrats have no winner-take-all states, so winning a state doesn’t necessarily mean threatening Clinton’s 220-pledged-delegate advantage.

There’s a ray of hope in the Sanders campaign, though: the South, which heavily favored Clinton, has already voted, and the remaining states are demographically more friendly.

Democratic Primary & Caucus Schedule

2/1 Iowa 52
2/9 New Hampshire 32
2/20 Nevada 43
2/27 South Carolina 59
3/1 Alabama 60
3/1 American Samoa 10
3/1 Arkansas 37
3/1 Colorado 79
3/1 Georgia 116
3/1 Massachusetts 116
3/1 Minnesota 93
3/1 Oklahoma 42
3/1 Tennessee 76
3/1 Texas 252
3/1 Vermont 26
3/1 Virginia 110
3/5 Kansas 37
3/5 Louisiana 58
3/5 Nebraska 30
3/6 Maine 30
3/8 Michigan 148
3/8 Mississippi 41
3/8 Dems Abroad 17
3/12 Northern Mariana 11
3/15 Florida 246
3/15 Illinois 182
3/15 Missouri 84
3/15 North Carolina 121
3/15 Ohio 159
3/22 Arizona 85
3/22 Idaho 27
3/22 Utah 37
3/26 Alaska 20
3/26 Hawaii 34
3/26 Washington 118
4/5 Wisconsin 96
4/9 Wyoming 18
4/19 New York 291
4/26 Connecticut 70
4/26 Delaware 31
4/26 Maryland 118
4/26 Pennsylvania 210
4/26 Rhode Island 33
5/3 Indiana 92
5/7 Guam 12
5/10 West Virginia 34
5/17 Kentucky 61
5/17 Oregon 73
6/4 Virgin Islands 12
6/5 Puerto Rico 67
6/7 California 546
6/7 Montana 27
6/7 New Jersey 142
6/7 New Mexico 43
6/7 North Dakota 23
6/7 South Dakota 25
6/14 Washington, D.C. 46


Democratic Primary & Debate Schedule

Debate Schedule

Florida: March 9, Univision

Primary Schedule

South Carolina: February 27

Super Tuesday (Alabama, American Samoa, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma,
Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia): March 1

Kansas, Louisiana: March 5

Maine: March 6

Michigan, Mississippi, Democrats Abroad: March 8

Northern Mariana Islands: March 12

Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio: March 15

Arizona, Idaho, Utah: March 22

Alaska, Hawaii, Washington: March 26

Wisconsin: April 5

Wyoming: April 9

New York: April 19

Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island: April 26

Indiana: May 3

West Virginia: May 10

Kentucky, Oregon: May 17

California, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota: June 7

Washington, D.C.: June 14

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