Ted Cruz is a heavy underdog in New York. (Getty)
Ted Cruz received a big boost with his Wisconsin victory in his continued attempt to stop Donald Trump from reaching the needed 1,237 delegates to secure the nomination. The early New York polling data does not look as favorable for Cruz.
In a recent poll conducted by Monmouth, Cruz came in third. Trump had a 27 percentage point lead on John Kasich, while Cruz trailed Trump by 35 percentage points.
Trump has had a comfortable lead in his home state in every early poll conducted within the last month. Not only was Trump born in New York, but has had many successful business ventures throughout the state.
There are 95 delegates at stake in the upcoming primary. The delegates are divided proportionally with a few exceptions. There are 81 Congressional districts each with one delegate awarded to the winner of the district. If a candidate reaches 50% of the votes, he wins 14 automatic delegates and the majority of other delegates. There is also a qualifying threshold of 20% to be able to get a share of the delegates.
It seems unlikely anyone will catch Trump in New York and interest will center around Trump’s margin of victory given its impact on the delegate race. If he can get over 50% of the votes, it would help him widen his lead. Cruz will want to win at least 20% of the votes in order to qualify for delegates.
Here’s a look at the latest New York Republican polls.
RealClear Politics Average
RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the New York polls. The average includes data from five polls. The Monmouth poll conducted April 3-5, the CBS News/YouGov poll conducted March 29-April 1, the Quinnipiac poll conducted March 22-29, the Liberty Research poll conducted March 24-26 and the Optimus poll conducted March 22-24.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Donald Trump | 53.0 |
| John Kasich | 22.0 |
| Ted Cruz | 18.6 |
Monmouth
The Monmouth poll was conducted April 3-5. It has a margin of error of 5.6 percentage points.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Donald Trump | 52 |
| John Kasich | 25 |
| Ted Cruz | 17 |
CBS News/YouGov
The CBS News/YouGov poll was conducted March 29-April 1. It has a margin of error of 5.6 percentage points.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Donald Trump | 52 |
| Ted Cruz | 21 |
| John Kasich | 20 |
Quinnipiac
The Quinnipiac poll was conducted March 22-29. It has a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Donald Trump | 56 |
| Ted Cruz | 20 |
| John Kasich | 19 |
Liberty Research
The Liberty Research poll was conducted March 24-26. It has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Donald Trump | 55 |
| John Kasich | 22 |
| Ted Cruz | 19 |
Optimus
The Optimus poll was conducted March 22-24. It has a margin of error of 1 percentage point.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Donald Trump | 50 |
| John Kasich | 24 |
| Ted Cruz | 16 |
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a 290 million year old foot print was found in new mexico I think it was 1987 could this be the work of TRUMP ? if not TRUMP then who may be we should ask Ted he looks like a smart man or maybe Clinton would know she looks old enough she just might been there and has first hand knowledge? no just blame TRUMP he seems to be the one we can blame for all things that have gone wrong,now I can not say to my children we came from monkeys or fish from the see!! man I just don’t know how a 290 million year old foot print got there ??? this is not a stop the TRUMP movement this is a stop the YOU and ME from taking back the laws that are government is refusing to stand and up hold by allowing criminals to brake laws and run back to their own country and now these same people are trying to blow smoke up my ass and telling I can wait until I am dead to get my SSI the average life span is 70 to 85 and now these fine people say TRUMP this TRUMP that so they can keep blowing smoke OK right tell me more bull shit most of us will be dead before we see a dime of are SSI now this oboma I think it called TTP this little trick will alow a foreign country to say to are government you sad if we invest we can control pay what this means it this minimum wage is 15 a hour and the labor bored send minimum wage needs to go up now the foreign government tell are government NO we will not pay 16 so now are government must take the foreign government to arbitration stripping you of your rights under the US CONSTITUTION and the constitution of the state you live in making you a slave to a foreign government will thats if you want to work NOW this so called oboma care the government wants to know how much money you have and we’re it is most states have already passed a 55 year limit for state medical laws this means this if you can not afford medical you get meical the truth is if you are on medcal at the age of 55 and something happens to you and now you have this big bill it OK when you are dead the state will get there money when your home is sold leveling the family with nothing….. but as you and I know all to we’ll are government will not tell you or me that oh no and the plot thickens that’s why open borders to keep us busy from finding out the truth of it all… but how did a 290 million year old foot print get in new mexico ?
IN SUMMARY DUMP THE FRUMP!,
Why would anyone need Lyin’ Ted Cruz