The Wisconsin Republican polls showed a shift within the last month. While Donald Trump was leading in the polls in early March, the majority of polls conducted within the last week show Ted Cruz with a lead in Wisconsin.
After a short hiatus between nominating events, Tuesday’s primary represents 42 delegates at stake. In addition to the delegates, it would be a boost to the winning campaign with important April primaries on the horizon.
A loss in Wisconsin would make it increasingly difficult for Trump to win the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the GOP nomination before the convention. A recent ARG poll did show Trump with a lead over Cruz.
Here’s a look at the latest Wisconsin Republican polls.
RealClear Politics Average
RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the Wisconsin polls. The average includes data from seven polls. The ARG poll conducted April 1-3, the Emerson poll conducted March 30-April 3, the CBS News/YouGov poll conducted March 29-April 1, the FOX Business poll conducted March 28-30, the Loras College poll conducted March 28-29, the PPP poll conducted March 28-29 and the Marquette poll conducted March 24-28.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Ted Cruz | 39.0 |
Donald Trump | 34.9 |
John Kasich | 19.6 |
ARG
The ARG poll was conducted April 1-3. It has a margin of error of 5 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 42 |
Ted Cruz | 32 |
John Kasich | 23 |
Emerson
The Emerson poll was conducted March 30-April 3. It has a margin of error of 4.1 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Ted Cruz | 40 |
Donald Trump | 35 |
John Kasich | 21 |
CBS News/YouGov
The CBS News/YouGov poll was conducted March 29-April 1. It has a margin of error of 5.7 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Ted Cruz | 43 |
Donald Trump | 37 |
John Kasich | 18 |
FOX Business
The FOX Business poll was conducted March 28-30. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Ted Cruz | 42 |
Donald Trump | 32 |
John Kasich | 19 |
Loras College
The Loras College poll was conducted March 28-29. It has a margin of error of 4.8 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Ted Cruz | 38 |
Donald Trump | 31 |
John Kasich | 18 |
PPP
The PPP poll was conducted March 28-29. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Ted Cruz | 38 |
Donald Trump | 37 |
John Kasich | 17 |
Marquette
The Marquette poll was conducted March 24-28. It has a margin of error of 5.8 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Ted Cruz | 40 |
Donald Trump | 30 |
John Kasich | 21 |