New York GOP Polls 2016: Trump Has Large Lead

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Donald Trump is a heavy favorite in New York. (Getty)

While Donald Trump found himself in a fight for the Wisconsin Republican primary, he is headed to more favorable territory. The GOP candidates head to New York next for an April 19 primary.

There are 95 delegates at stake in the primary, and Trump has a sizable advantage in his home state. According to RealClear Politics, Trump has an average lead of 32 percentage points on the field.

The early polling data is bad news for Ted Cruz who finds himself in third in some of the early polls. While Trump has a lead on Cruz in the delegate race, the big question is whether Trump can reach the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the nomination.

If neither candidate has 1,237 delegates, it becomes likely that the GOP is headed towards a contested convention. This scenario favors Cruz given the public backlash Trump has received from members of the Republican establishment.

Here’s a look at the latest New York GOP polls.

RealClear Politics Average

RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the New York polls. The average includes data from four polls. The CBS News/YouGov poll conducted March 29-April 1, the Quinnipiac poll conducted March 22-29, the Liberty Research poll conducted March 24-26 and the Optimus poll conducted March 22-24.

Donald Trump 53.3
John Kasich 21.3
Ted Cruz 19.0

CBS News/YouGov

The CBS News/YouGov poll was conducted March 29-April 1. It has a margin of error of 5.6 percentage points.

Donald Trump 52
Ted Cruz 21
John Kasich 20


The Quinnipiac poll was conducted March 22-29. It has a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points.

Donald Trump 56
Ted Cruz 20
John Kasich 19

Liberty Research

The Liberty Research poll was conducted March 24-26. It has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

Donald Trump 55
John Kasich 22
Ted Cruz 19


The Optimus poll was conducted March 22-24. It has a margin of error of 1 percentage point.

Donald Trump 50
John Kasich 24
Ted Cruz 16