The early polling data is bad news for Ted Cruz who finds himself in third in some of the early polls. While Trump has a lead on Cruz in the delegate race, the big question is whether Trump can reach the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the nomination.
If neither candidate has 1,237 delegates, it becomes likely that the GOP is headed towards a contested convention. This scenario favors Cruz given the public backlash Trump has received from members of the Republican establishment.
Here’s a look at the latest New York GOP polls.
RealClear Politics Average
RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the New York polls. The average includes data from four polls. The CBS News/YouGov poll conducted March 29-April 1, the Quinnipiac poll conducted March 22-29, the Liberty Research poll conducted March 24-26 and the Optimus poll conducted March 22-24.
The CBS News/YouGov poll was conducted March 29-April 1. It has a margin of error of 5.6 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac poll was conducted March 22-29. It has a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points.
The Liberty Research poll was conducted March 24-26. It has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
The Optimus poll was conducted March 22-24. It has a margin of error of 1 percentage point.
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