New Jersey Democratic Polls: Clinton Holds Commanding Lead

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Hillary Clinton speaks in San Diego on June 2 (Getty)

While most eyes have been on the California primary on Tuesday, the New Jersey primary could wrap up the Democratic nomination for president for Hillary Clinton long before polls close on the West Coast. The race in California could be close, but polling data from the Garden State shows that Clinton should easily win the primary there.

After last night’s victory in Puerto Rico, Clinton is only 28 delegates shy of the 2,383 threshold she needs to hit before the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia next month. New Jersey has 126 delegates up for grabs in the primary, plus 16 superdelegates. Therefore, Clinton could be the presumptive nominee by 8 p.m. Eastern, when the polls close in New Jersey.

Bernie Sanders is hoping for a contested convention, but Clinton told CNN that she is hoping for Sanders to begin working with her after Tuesday.

“After Tuesday, I’m going to do everything I can to reach out, to try to unify the Democratic Party, and I expect Sen. Sanders to do the same,” Clinton said. “And we will come together and be prepared to go to the convention in a unified way, to make our case, to leave the convention, to go into the general election to defeat Donald Trump.”

Here’s a look at the New Jersey polls.


RealClear Politics Average

Most polls in New Jersey show Clinton with a double-digit lead over Sanders. RealClear Politics shows that Clinton leads by an average of 20.5 points over Sanders. That includes data from the recent polls by CBS News/YouGov (May 31-June 3) and Quinnipiac (May 10-May 16).

RealClear Politics Average Percentage
Hillary Clinton 57.5
Bernie Sanders 37.0

CBS News/YouGov Poll

The latest YouGov poll shows just how big Clinton’s lead is. The survey was taken between May 31 and June 3 and included 586 respondents who are likely to vote in the primary. The margin of error was +/-5.4 percent.

CBS News/YouGov Percentage
Hillary Clinton 61
Bernie Sanders 34

American Research Group, Inc. Poll

The American Research Group, Inc. polled 400 registered Democrats between May 31 and June 2. Like the CBS News/YouGov poll, it shows that Clinton has at least 60 percent support of voters. The margin of error on this poll was +/- 5 percent.

American Research Group, Inc. Percentage
Hillary Clinton 60
Bernie Sanders 37

Quinnipiac

The most recent Quinnipiac poll was conducted from May 10 to May 16. This poll included responses from 696 likely Democratic voters with the margin of error of +/-3.7 percent.

Quinnipiac Percentage
Hillary Clinton 54
Bernie Sanders 40