The Green Party’s Jill Stein is polling lower than the two major party nominees and Libertarian Gary Johnson but is drawing younger voters.
Support for Stein is ticking upward.
Stein is not polling as high as the other third-party candidate in the race, Gary Johnson. However, Politico says that, as with Johnson, she is siphoning some younger voters away from the major party nominees, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who remain unpopular with many voters.
The Washington Post says that both Johnson and Stein fare better than Donald Trump with voters under 30 in one recent poll, although Hillary Clinton still leads in that age group.
A judge recently threw out a lawsuit by Johnson and Stein, who were seeking to be included in presidential debates. Candidates must average at least 15% support by September to be included in the debates, a threshold neither Johnson nor Stein is currently meeting.
Politico said Stein is also drawing some support away from Hillary Clinton. “Some soft voters might be moving into Clinton’s camp when asked on a two-way ballot, but defecting to a third candidate when given other options,” Politico said, a trend the site called “small but fairly consistent.”
The Green Party convention ran Aug. 4 through the weekend in Houston, Texas. Some upset Bernie Sanders voters were considering supporting Stein, a practicing physician who was the Green Party’s 2012 presidential nominee and calls herself a “pioneering environmental-health advocate.”
RealClearPolitics, which averages recent polls, had Stein polling an average 4 percent on Aug. 6. Johnson polled 8.4, Trump 36.7 and Clinton 43. The RCP polling average has Clinton leading 6.3 points.
However, the RealClearPolitics average shows Stein has gain a couple point sin the polls since early June, when she polled on average about 2.5 percent.
Here’s what polls since Aug. 1 show relating to Stein:
This poll was conducted July 29 through Aug. 4. It showed that Clinton improved her standing after the Democratic National Convention, but Trump did not improve his standing after the Republican National Convention.
Investor’s Business Daily said Johnson had improved in this poll and “many voters remain unsatisfied with their choice of candidates,” providing an opening for third-party candidates.
NBC/Wall Street Journal
The NBC/WSJ telephone poll was conducted July 31-August 3. It has a margin of error of +/-3.5 percentage points.
The poll found that Clinton’s favorability had increased slightly, but she remains disliked by voters. Trump is even more unpopular, said NBC.
The poll says Clinton received a post convention bounce. The survey was conducted on August 1-2. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
The poll found that Stein does best with voters not attached to a major party. She “picks up five percent (5%) of the vote from unaffiliateds and just two percent (2%) support each from Republicans and Democrats.”
Both Clinton and Trump perform slightly better in this poll without the third party candidates considered.
The numbers below represent polling for likely voters. Stein does slightly better when registered voters are polled; the numbers for registered voters are Clinton (42%), Trump (35%), Johnson (7%), and Stein (4%).
Stein polls strongest with independent registered voters (12%). The poll was conducted July 30-Aug.3.
The Economist/YouGov poll sampled registered voters from July 30 – Aug. 1. The poll showed Stein does best with voters under age 30, in the northeast, and who identify themselves as liberal or independent.
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