Donald Trump is looking to move up in the polls. (Getty)
The polls reflected favorably for Donald Trump right after the Republican National Convention. Since then, it has been downhill for the Trump campaign.
According to RealClear Politics, Trump trails Clinton in the latest matchup polls by an average of 6.7 percentage points. While Clinton’s lead has not grown in the latest batch of polls, her lead on Trump is holding steady.
After months of displaying confidence on the campaign trail, Trump has alluded to the possibility of losing the election in recent weeks. He spoke about the idea in a CNBC interview.
“At the end, it’s either going to work, or I’m going to, you know, I’m going to have a very, very nice, long vacation,” Trump told CNBC (via the Associated Press).
He admitted to a group of ministers in Florida that the campaign is facing a challenge, and pointed to his bluntness as potentially costing him in November.
“It could cost us the Supreme Court,” Trump told the ministers (via Associated Press).
Multiple prediction models show Clinton with a great chance to win the election. FiveThirtyEight’s polls-plus model gives Clinton a 76.7 percent chance to win. The New York Times’ model gives her an 88 percent chance of winning in the fall.
Here’s a look at the latest polls.
RealClear Politics Average
RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the Trump vs. Clinton polls. The average includes data from six polls. The LA Times/USC poll conducted August 9-15, the NBC News/SM poll conducted August 8-14, the Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted August 6-10, the Bloomberg poll conducted August 5-8, the Economist/YouGov poll was conducted August 6-9 and the ABC News/Washington Post poll conducted August 1-4.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Hillary Clinton | 47.7 |
| Donald Trump | 41.0 |
LA Times/USC
The Los Angeles Times/USC poll was conducted August 9-15.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Hillary Clinton | 46 |
| Donald Trump | 42 |
NBC News/SM
The NBC News/SM poll was conducted August 8-14. It has a margin of error of 1.2 percentage points.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Hillary Clinton | 50 |
| Donald Trump | 41 |
Reuters/Ipsos
The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted August 6-10. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Hillary Clinton | 42 |
| Donald Trump | 36 |
Bloomberg
The Bloomberg poll was conducted August 5-8. It has a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Hillary Clinton | 50 |
| Donald Trump | 44 |
Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov poll was conducted August 6-9. It has a margin of error of 4.2 percentage points.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Hillary Clinton | 48 |
| Donald Trump | 41 |
ABC News/Washington Post
The ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted August 1-4. It has a margin of error of 4.0 percentage points.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Hillary Clinton | 50 |
| Donald Trump | 42 |
NBC News/SM Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson
The NBC News/SM three-way poll was conducted August 8-14. It has a margin of error of 1.2 percentage points.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Hillary Clinton | 43 |
| Donald Trump | 37 |
| Gary Johnson | 11 |
NBC News/SM Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein
The NBC News/SM four-way poll was conducted August 8-14. It has a margin of error of 1.2 percentage points.
| CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
| Hillary Clinton | 43 |
| Donald Trump | 37 |
| Gary Johnson | 11 |
| Jill Stein | 4 |