Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump will hold a rally in Reno, Nevada this evening, his third event of the day.
Trump will speak from the Reno-Sparks Convention Center beginning at 5:00 p.m. Pacific Time. The rally can be viewed in the embedded YouTube player via Right Side Broadcasting.
This is one of Donald Trump’s final rallies of the 2016 election cycle, and it’s the last event he currently has scheduled in Nevada before Election Day. The Trump campaign hopes they can secure this state’s six Electoral College votes, and they have gradually caught up to Hillary Clinton in the polls there, ahead of her by 2.0 percentage points in Real Clear Politics’ Nevada polling average.
But early voting has been underway in Nevada since October 22nd, and the results so far suggest a Hillary Clinton victory. In the early vote, Democrats lead Republicans 42 percent to 37 percent. Plus, Clinton is doing particularly well in some of the most populated counties in the state, as she’s up 14 percentage points in Clark County. Although early voting numbers aren’t always indicative of the final result, they usually are in Nevada, a state where the majority of voters cast their ballot early. In 2012, nearly 70 percent of all the votes cast came prior to Election Day.
Although Nevada is only worth six electors, losing it would be an enormous setback for Trump. He does have a realistic pathway to 270 Electoral College votes, but the path is so narrow that failing to win just a single battleground state is not an option for him. If Trump were to win Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Iowa but lose Nevada, that would put him at 265 Electoral College votes, five short of victory. He could, however, make up for that by winning New Hampshire and Maine’s 2nd Congressional District; doing so while still losing Nevada puts him at exactly 270 electors.
The Hillary Clinton campaign will also be paying another visit to Nevada before the campaign is over, with Bernie Sanders holding a rally for Clinton in Las Vegas on Sunday, November 6th.
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