Which House Republicans Are Vulnerable in the 2018 Election?

House of Representatives, U.S. House of Representatives, House of Representatives state of the union

President Barack Obama delivers the State of the Union speech before members of Congress in the House chamber of the U.S. Capitol January 12, 2016 in Washington, DC. (Getty)

The United States House of Representatives just voted to repeal and replace Obamacare. When Democrats voted to pass Obamacare, they subsequently faced a tough midterm election. So will Republicans face a similar reaction from their constituents in 2018?

Democrats seem to think so; in fact, on the House floor today, Democrats could be heard singing “‘Na Na Na Na, Hey Hey Hey, Goodbye,” with the implications being that these Republicans just set themselves up to be voted out of office in 2018 by voting for the American Health Care Act.

So which Republicans are vulnerable in 2018? Well, as observed by Nate Silver, there are 27 Republicans who voted for the American Health Care Act and won their district by less than 15 percent of the vote last election.

According to Daily Kos, there are also 23 of Republicans from districts that Hillary Clinton won in 2016; this indicates that there exists a significant number of Democrats in the district who might turn out to vote the member of Congress out of office in 2018.

Here’s a look at all of the Republicans who are from districts that Hillary Clinton won in 2016 and how they voted today.

  • Mike Coffman (Colorado) – Voted no on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 50.2 percent of the vote.
  • Barbara Comstock (Virginia)  – Voted no on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 52.2 percent of the vote.
  • Ryan Costello (Pennsylvania) – Voted no on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 48.2 percent of the vote.
  • John Culberson (Texas) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 48.5 percent of the vote.
  • Carlos Curbelo (Florida) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 56.7 percent of the vote.
  • Jeff Denham (California) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 48.5 percent of the vote.
  • Will Hurd (Texas) – Voted no on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 49.8 percent of the vote.
  • Darrell Issa (California) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 50.7 percent of the vote.
  • John Katko (New York) – Voted no on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 48.9 percent of the vote.
  • Steve Knight (California) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 50.3 percent of the vote.
  • Leonard Lance (New Jersey) – Voted no on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 48.6 percent of the vote.
  • Martha McSally (Arizona) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 49.6 percent of the vote.
  • Pat Meehan (Pennsylvania) – Voted no on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 49.3 percent of the vote.
  • Erik Paulsen (Minnesota) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 50.8 percent of the vote.
  • Peter Roskam (Illinois) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 50.2 percent of the vote.
  • Dave Reichert (Washington) – Voted no on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 47.7 percent of the vote.
  • Dana Rohrabacher (California) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 47.9 percent of the vote.
  • Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (Florida) – Voted no on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 58.6 percent of the vote.
  • Ed Royce (California) – Voted yes on the America Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 51.5 percent of the vote.
  • Pete Sessions (Texas) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 48.5 percent of the vote.
  • David Valadao (California) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district with 55.2 percent of the vote.
  • Mimi Walters (California) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district 49.8 percent of the vote.
  • Kevin Yoder (Kansas) – Voted yes on the American Health Care Act; Hillary Clinton won this district 47.6 percent of the vote.