Hurricane Irma Fort Lauderdale: Projected Path & Forecast

Cone of uncertainty

National Hurricane Center

Hurricane Irma is now a Category 5. The storm may not make a landfall in the U.S. until later this week or this weekend, but many regions in Florida are already preparing. The storm currently has 185 mph winds and the chance of direct impacts from Irma is increasing in the Florida Keys and portions of the Florida peninsula. But as the National Hurricane Center has emphasized, “It is too soon to specify the timing and magnitude of the impacts.”

Here’s everything we know so far about the hurricane’s potential impact in Fort Lauderdale.

Governor Rick Scott has declared a State of Emergency to prepare for the storm in Florida.

In a statement, Scott said:

In Florida, we always prepare for the worst and hope for the best and while the exact path of Irma is not absolutely known at this time, we cannot afford to not be prepared. This state of emergency allows our emergency management officials to act swiftly in the best interest of Floridians without the burden of bureaucracy or red tape.”

During a press conference on Tuesday, Broward County Mayor Barbara Sharief said that Broward County might experience tropical storm winds as soon as Friday evening. The county is already getting shelters ready and reaching out to residents with special needs, Fort Lauderdale Daily reported. But shelters should be used as a last resort. If evacuations are ordered, residents will be encouraged to leave the area instead.

Beginning at 8 a.m. on Wednesday, the emergency hotline will be open. Residents can call 311 or 954-831-4000.

Right now, residents are advised to finalize their emergency plans and prepare for the storm today, including making sure you have enough food, water, gas, and medications. Some stores are already running out of supplies, like a Publix in Davie near Fort Lauderdale, which posted a sign saying it was out of water and not sure when new supplies would arrive.

But don’t trim your trees anymore, because items left on the side of the road could cause damage when wind increases. If you live in an evacuation zone, figure out now where you’ll evacuate to, such as staying with friends or family outside of the zone. At the time of publication, Broward County was holding off on issuing evacuations.

At the time of publication, Ford Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport and Port Everglades are operating normally. Broward County public schools will be closed Thursday and Friday.

The National Hurricane Center has indicated that the Leeward Islands will get hit with catastrophic winds tonight, and Irma may reach Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands on Wednesday night, and then the Dominican Republic and Haiti 24 hours after that. It will then move over Cuba by Friday. Beyond that, it’s tough to predict where the storm will go, but South Florida — especially the Keys — are more and more likely to be in its path.

Florida is on high alert after the damage that was done when Hurricane Harvey, a Category 4, made landfall in Texas. Irma is a Category 5.

Irma is currently moving west at 14 mph. Experts are urging caution about paying too much heed to the storm’s track and landfall, since it’s 120 miles across (nearly as wide as Florida itself) and many areas will feel the impact of the storm even if they aren’t directly hit by the center of the storm. Tropical storm force winds will extend out 160 miles.

As of 2 p.m., Irma was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 59.1 West, heading west at 14 mph. Irma’s strength may change as it moves forward, but experts say it will likely remain Category 5 or 4. Maximum sustained winds were 185 mph. The latest minimum central pressure was 926 mb.

The following watches and warnings were in effect:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…

  • Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis
    Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten
    Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy
    British Virgin Islands
    U.S. Virgin Islands
    Puerto Rico, Vieques, and Culebra

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…

  • Guadeloupe
    Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the northern border with
    Haiti
    Haiti from the northern border with the Dominican Republic to Le
    Mole St. Nicholas
    Turks and Caicos Islands
    Southeastern Bahamas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…

  • Guadeloupe
  • Dominica

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…

  • Dominican Republic from south of Cabo Engao to Isla Saona
  • Haiti from south of Le Mole St. Nicholas to Port-Au-Prince

 

Here’s the current long range forecast for Fort Lauderdale, according to the National Weather Service. This will likely change as the hurricane’s path becomes more predictable.

Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 103. Light east wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 81. Southeast wind 3 to 5 mph.
Thursday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Light east wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 81. East wind around 9 mph.
Friday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Breezy, with a northeast wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Friday Night: Tropical storm conditions possible. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 82.
Saturday: Hurricane conditions possible. Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night: Hurricane conditions possible. Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 80. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 88. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 79. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 89. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. Windy.
Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Breezy.

 

Floridians are asked to visit FloridaDisaster.org/GetAPlan to plan ahead for the storm.

If you’re in Broward County and want to stay updated, text ALERTBROWARD to 888-777.