When Will Irma Hit Fort Myers, Florida? [Sept. 10 Update]

Latest GFS model

National Hurricane Center

As Hurricane Irma makes a frightening shift to the west in recent forecasting models, people in Lee County and Fort Myers are urged to seek shelter. Many are wondering: What time is Irma projected to hit Fort Myers and Lee County?

By 5 p.m., the hurricane had made its second landfall along Marco Island and was five miles from Naples.

According to the National Weather Service, the storm was projected to strike Marco Island and Naples first, before moving elsewhere.

There is a hurricane warning for Fort Myers and Lee County with a projection of hurricane conditions expected on Sunday and Sunday night and possible on Monday. The hurricane made landfall in the U.S. around 9:10 a.m. in Cudjoe Key. It’s possible the hurricane could make its second landfall in the area of Fort Myers or Naples, although no one knows for sure exactly where.

See Irma projected arrival times here from Sunday morning:


Recent spaghetti models have tracked the shift to the west.

Central Florida Waste Management DistrictSunday morning spaghetti model.

September 9 forecast cone from the National Weather Service:

See the updated weather page for Fort Myers here.

Weather.com reports these arrival times for Fort Myers, although be aware the National Weather Service now says hurricane conditions are also possible on Saturday.

“Naples/Ft. Myers, Florida

Peak storm surge forecast: 8 to 12 feet
High tide times (Naples): Sunday 3:02 a.m., 4:07 p.m.; Monday 3:40 a.m.
Tropical storm-force winds begin: Saturday evening
Hurricane-force winds begin: Late Sunday morning
Strongest winds, timing: Sunday night”

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Lee County Emergency Management will be announcing more shelter openings soon. As of 9 a.m. Saturday, here is the current status of shelters, according to the county:

The following shelters are full:

Estero Recreation Center

Varsity Lakes Middle School

Island Coast High School

South Fort Myers High School

Space is available at other shelters open now:

East Lee County High School, 715 Thomas Sherwin Ave. Lehigh Acres

Harns Marsh MIddle School, 1820 Unice Ave. North Lehigh Acres

Oak Hammock Middle School, Fort Myers

These shelters will open at 10 a.m.:

Ray V. Pottorf Elementary, 4600 Challenger Blvd., Fort Myers

FGCU’s Alico Arena, 10501 FGCU Boulevard South, Estero

Germain Arena, 11000 Everglades Parkway, Estero


Pets are welcome at all shelters. Evacuees are reminded to bring crates or at least have pets on leashes. Germain Arena advises they do not have pet-sheltering capabilities. However, no one will be turned away from the shelter while capacity remains.”

In addition, Lee County expanded evacuation orders. As of Saturday:

Lee County expands mandatory evacuations

“Lee County Emergency Management has announced additional mandatory evacuations effectively immediately for Evacuation Zone B south of the Caloosahatchee in Fort Myers and Zone B south of Pine Island Road in Cape Coral.

A previous announcement put in place mandatory evacuations of Evacuation Zone A and portions of the Imperial River basin between East Terry, Bonita Beach Road and Interstate 75. That includes:

All of the barrier islands (Boca Grande/Gasparilla, Cayo Costa, Useppa, Cabbage Key, North Captiva, Captiva, Sanibel, Fort Myers Beach, San Carlos Island, Bonita Beach)

Cape Coral west of Burnt Store Road and south of Cape Coral Parkway, east of Del Prado Boulevard to Viscaya Parkway

North Fort Myers south of Bay Shore Road from Moody Road to State Road 31 and areas south of North River Road from State Road 31 to Fichters Creek.

Areas of Iona south of Maple Drive, west of U.S. 41

San Carlos Park west of U.S. 41,

Estero west of U.S. 41, north of the Estero River

Bonita Springs communities along Estero Bay and the Imperial River Basin.”