What Are the Odds Mike Pence Is the NYT Op-Ed Writer?

Mike pence op-ed writer

Getty Was Mike Pence the NYT op-ed writer? Many people on the betting circuit believe he is.

In the wake of the explosive New York Times op-ed that was released by an anonymous senior Trump official, reporters and journalists across the globe have been scrambled to identify the source who detailed a “secret resistance” within the administration.

As Trump demands that the Department of Justice find out who wrote the article, another anonymous source told The New York Times that the White House has a list of the 12 most likely individuals to be responsible for what Trump has called “TREASON.”

Though the White House’s list has not been released, CNN has listed the most likely suspects to be:

  • Dan Coats
  • Kellyanne Conway
  • John Kelly
  • Kirstjen Nielsen
  • Jeff Sessions
  • James Mattis
  • Fiona Hill
  • Mike Pence
  • Nikki Haley
  • Javanka
  • Melania Trump

And out of that list, the man who has been predicted with the highest odds of being the author of the groundbreaking article is: Mike Pence.


Betting Odds Around Mike Pence Being the Author of the NYT Op-Ed Article

MyBookie’s prediction market around who the writer of op-ed is holds Mike Pence to be the betting favorite by far, with odds of -150, in comparison to the next closest favorite of Betsy DeVos at +200.

The least likely candidates, according to MyBookie odds, are Stephen Miller, Jared Kushner, and Ivanka Trump, who are all at +1200 odds.

Pence has vehemently denied any involvement, as have most of the other top officials in Trump’s cabinet. He has called the op-ed “disgraceful,” and said that the individual should do “the honorable thing and resign.”

For now, it looks like the MyBookie betters aren’t buying it. And it’s likely that the word “lodestar” has something to do with why Pence is considered to be the culprit.


Why “Lodestar” Has Led People to Pence

The use of the word “lodestar” in the NYT op-ed immediately triggered a wave of responses on Twitter, who rightly noted that Pence is the only Trump official who has repeatedly used the word in public speeches.

Linguist David Kusnet has suggested that a speechwriter had something to do with the op-ed given the use of alliteration throughout the piece. Of the connection between Pence and the word “lodestar,” Kusnet said, “I have a hard time thinking that Vice President Pence would have written this…it’s even possible that someone wrote it knowing that “lodestar” is a word of Pence.”

He continued, “I think that whoever did this is not a coward, and that at this point they would come forward and not deny it… I would think that they would want to close this out honorably.”