The fight will be carried live by ESPN starting at 9 pm ET/6 pm PT.
Read on for the favorite to win, a preview of the fighters, and a prediction.
Favorite to Win and Odds
Keith Thurman (25-0, 21 KOs) enters the fight a huge favorite in Vegas and on online sportsbooks (see odds below) in what many expect to be a showcase match for the world champion. But Luis Collazo (36-6, 19 KOs) is a cagey veteran– a spoiler who has fought some of the best, and he just may have the answer to taming the young, impetuous slugger.
“He’s going to do his best not allow me to look excellent,” Thurman said in a recent media conference call. “He’s going to do his best to make them upset in my hometown and he has an opportunity to become the world champion. So I’m pretty sure that he can do all that he can do but one thing is, out of all the champions, I still believe that my punching power is still above anybody that he fought so that’s going to be something new.”
Let’s take a look at the bookies’ numbers:
bet365: Keith Thurman -5000 Luis Collazo +1400
Sky Bet: Keith Thurman -4000 Luis Collazo +1200
Sporting Bet: Keith Thurman -3300 Luis Collazo +900
Coral: Keith Thurman -3300 Luis Collazo +1000
Preview: Keith Thurman vs. Luis Collazo
One of the sport’s hardest hitters and fastest rising stars, 26-year-old Thurman was last in action with a decision win over grinder Robert Guerrero in March. Prior to the Guerrero fight, Thurman had outpointed Sierra Leonean Leoneard Bundu and retired Julio Diaz.
Thurman is a high pressure, hard hitting puncher with fight-ending power in both hands. Sporting an impressive 81% knockout ratio, the Clearwater native is, at once, a feared slugger and a strategizing ring technician.
“I am an evolutionary boxer,” Thurman said recently. “I change and grow with every camp, every fight, I am here to retain my title and become the undisputed, true welterweight champ.”
Check out some of Keith’s best work:
Former welterweight world champion Luis Collazo, 34 years old, is coming off an April victory over fringe prospect Christopher Degollado. The battle-tested New Yorker’s most recent defeat came at the hands of Amir Khan, via a unanimous decision in May of 2014. Collazo’s resume includes encounters against top-10’ers Shane Mosley, Ricky Hatton, Victor Ortiz and Andre Berto.
Southpaw Collazo is a crafty boxer with good upper-body movement and excellent range control. A patient, prolific counterpuncher– Luis lacks the pop to walk down opponents, but he knows what it takes to take rounds.
“I believe Keith Thurman is doing heck of a job,” Collazo said. “He’s undefeated, I don’t take anything away from him. In this sport anything can happen. I’m just coming in here prepared for this fight July 11 and you can count on me bringing my best to the ring in July. I’m just ready once that bell rings it just the tapes out the window everything is out the window. Whoever sticks to the game plan the best is who should come out victorious.”
It’ll be interesting to see how Thurman figures out Collazo’s rhythm, timing, and counterpunching. I predict a tactical start to the match, with Collazo working the perimeter, trying to catch a stalking Thurman as he tries to get inside to touch Luis’s body.
Look for the pace to pick up into the third and fourth frames and for Collazo to begin to show signs of succumbing to Keith’s pressure. By the eighth, Luis will be ripe for the picking, where I see a TKO win for ‘One Time.’
Guy’s pick: Thurman wins by mid to late-round TKO
The evening’s broadcast will kick off with undefeated Tony Harrison of Detroit facing Cleveland’s own Willie Nelson.