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With four wide receivers on the injury report, Tom Brady and the unbeaten New England Patriots are taking on the Denver Broncos‘ devastating defense in an intriguing Sunday Night Football betting matchup.
The Patriots are listed as 2.5-point favorites against the Broncos at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The visiting team is 0-5 SU and ATS in its last five games in this matchup.
Brady, whose Patriots are 10-0 SU and 5-2-3 ATS, has outstanding TE Rob Gronkowski at full strength. Starting WR Danny Amendola (sprained knee) might be hindered and the Patriots also had to place WR Aaron Dobson on injured reserve due to a foot injury.
The four-time Super Bowl-winning quarterback also had to hurry many throws last week in the face of a fierce Buffalo Bills pass rush. That is concerning since Denver has a league-high 34 sacks, although DE/OLB DeMarcus Ware is unlikely to play. New England’s depleted receiving corps will also face the tough tandem of CB Aqib Talib and Chris Harris.
The Patriots are 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against the AFC West. New England is also No. 1 in the NFL in scoring defense, and DE Rob Ninkovich and DE Chandler Jones will be matching wits and quickness with Broncos LT Ryan Harris and RT Michael Schofield, who are both new starters.
The Broncos, who are 8-2 SU and 5-4-1 ATS, have turned to young QB Brock Osweiler in the wake of Peyton Manning’s injuries and ineffectiveness. Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games after an ATS loss. Denver is also 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at Mile High, where it will be backed by a frenzied crowd hoping to see the Patriots get pinned with their first loss.
The Broncos offense showed mild improvement in Osweiler’s first start last week against Chicago, although the 25-year-old was sacked five times. Running back Ronnie Hillman, who has breakaway potential, had a 102-yard day and could be an X-factor on Sunday. Denver will need a receiver other than WR Demayrius Thomas to step up.
The total for Sunday night’s Patriots vs. Broncos betting matchup is set at 43.5 points at the sportsbooks. The total has gone OVER in four of the Patriots’ last five road games. The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Broncos’ last nine November games as home underdogs.
The OddsShark Computer is projecting a 25.6-20.4 Broncos victory.
Patriots vs. Broncos pick: Broncos ATS & SU
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