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A pair of 1 vs. 2 matchups will decide one half of the Final Four, as the Oregon Ducks face the Oklahoma Sooners and the Kansas Jayhawks play the Villanova Wildcats on Saturday.
In 1 vs. 2 NCAA Tournament matchups since 2001, the higher seed is 12-8 straight-up and 12-8 against the spread. Eleven of those 20 games went over the total.
Owing perhaps to the perception of their Pac-12 conference, the No. 1-seeded Oregon Ducks face a pick’em against the No. 2-seeded Oklahoma Sooners in the West Region final at the Honda Center in Anaheim, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The total is 151.0 points.
Oregon, led by F Dillon Brooks, is 6-0 straight-up and 4-2 against the spread since March 1, and are on an 11-win streak. If the line doesn’t move, this would be the Ducks’ first pick’em game since a March 2015 contest against Oklahoma State, that they won by six points.
Coach Dana Altman’s Ducks would seem to match up well with the Big 12’s Sooners, as their frontcourt of Brooks, Elgin Cook and Chris Boucher are quick and adept at blocking and altering shots. The Sooners, led by G Buddy Hield, have very good outside shooting, but will need to complement that with an inside game.
The Sooners defeated emotionally spent Texas A&M in the Sweet 16, with junior G Jordan Woodard having a 22-point night on just 11 shots, as he hit 5-of-6 three-point tries. That overshadowed Hield having five turnovers against a less athletic opponent than Oregon.
Kansas, which is 17-0 SU and 14-3 ATS across its last 17 games, is listed as a 2.5-point favorite against Villanova in the South Region final at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville. The total is set at 145.5 points. The teams are also ranked 1-2 in the Pomeroy College Basketball Rankings.
Since 2002, the Jayhawks are 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS in the Elite Eight round. Kansas PG Frank Mason III is more consistent than his Wildcats counterpart, Ryan Arcidiacono, who had 21 points in Villanova’s Sweet 16 victory. Where Kansas differs from Villanova’s previous opponent, the Miami Hurricanes, is that it is disciplined and likely will be less prone to giving Wildcats shooters such as Arcidiacono wide-open looks.
Villanova has not been an underdog of 3.5 or fewer points in two seasons, but is on a 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS run in those matchups according to the OddsShark College Basketball Database. The Wildcats are capable of putting up a good fight, but there is a lot of history on Kansas’ side.