Based on recent Super Bowl history, being the designated away team could bode well for Tom Brady and the New England Patriots at Super Bowl LI. The Patriots opened as three-point favorites against the Atlanta Falcons with a 58.5-point total for Super Bowl LI, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
The underdog Falcons are the home team – meaning they get a choice of which color to sport – for the NFL championship game at NRG Stadium in Houston on February 5. Interestingly enough, the designated away team is 8-2 straight-up in the last 10 Super Bowl matchups as well as 4-1 ATS in the last five Super Bowl matchups.
Conversely, though, the Patriots are just 1-4 ATS in their last five Super Bowl games, although they were victorious three times.
Atlanta, led by NFL MVP candidate Matt Ryan and a historically dominant offense, has gone 13-5 SU and 12-6 on the season while reaching the Super Bowl for the second time in the franchise’s history.
Bettors will have to gauge whether the Falcons, with their balanced attack and a defense that seems better than statistically advertised based on their playoff performance, can continue their trend of being 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog. Atlanta is also 6-2 SU and ATS in their last eight games against teams with winning records.
Long-term trends are less auspicious for the Falcons, who are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games against the AFC.
New England, with Brady vying to become the first quarterback with five Super Bowl victories, is 16-2 SU and 15-3 ATS on the season. That includes being 7-0 ATS in their last seven games. The Patriots were a one-point underdog when they won their last Super Bowl title two seasons ago against the Seattle Seahawks and are also 6-1 SU in their last seven games in the playoffs as a favorite.
The Patriots are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games against the NFC. They are 4-0 SU and ATS against the Falcons during Brady’s career.
The total has gone under in three of the Patriots’ last four games in the Super Bowl. The total has gone over in the Falcons’ last eight games. The total has gone over in six of the Patriots’ last seven games against teams with winning records.