With untested Brett Hundley thrown into the breach after a serious injury to Aaron Rodgers, the Green Bay Packers have moved five rungs down the Super Bowl champion odds board.
With Rodgers (a broken collarbone that requires surgery) possibly done for the season, the Packers’ price on the Super Bowl LII futures board has tripled to +1600 from +500 last week. And going from the second favorite just behind the New England Patriots (+450) to seventh might not even be enough due to the drastic change in the Packers’ prognosis.
The over/under for Packers wins is now 8.0 at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com, with the over at -130 while the under comes back at -110. Four wins from their remaining 10 games would at least guarantee a push, and Green Bay doesn’t have a daunting schedule, with dates remaining against the Chicago Bears and Cleveland Browns, along with an early December home game at Lambeau Field against the warm-weather Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The Packers won the NFC North in 2013 when Rodgers played only nine of the 16 regular-seasons game, but do not forget it was with a mediocre 8-7-1 record (including a 2-4-1 mark while he was recovering.). While the division isn’t deep, it likely will take at least 10 wins to take it. A wild card could also be hard to come by; the Packers pay +110 if they make the playoffs and -150 if they miss.
In the here and now, the Packers host the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. For Hundley, who had tried only 11 regular-season NFL passes before last week, the over/under on his passing yards is 230.5. The Saints are allowing 268 yards per game and 7.9 per pass, both 28th overall in the NFL, so it’s not like Hundley is preparing to face the 2015 Denver Broncos defense.
Odds are also available on how Hundley will fare in the all-important touchdown pass and interception categories against the Saints, with both totals set at 1.5. The change to Hundley might lead Packers coach Mike McCarthy to go with a conservative approach, so the -150 under on the interception total looks like a safe play (the over comes back at +110).
Hundley is offering +150 for more than one touchdown pass. In 2013, the other Packers quarterbacks had eight in the seven-game sample where Rodgers was unable to play.
McCarthy bristled earlier this week when asked about the Packers bringing in unsigned quarterback Colin Kaepernick, who’s from Wisconsin. One fun prop has the sportsbooks offering +700 odds on Kaepernick playing in a game for Green Bay this season. Former Dallas Cowboys QB Tony Romo (+700), now a broadcaster, is also on the board, along with the New York Giants’ Eli Manning (+2000). Brett Favre (+5000), who’s now 48 years old and seven years removed from his last NFL game, is also being offered.
For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.
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