Gallery: 2/7
Russell Knox, $9,000
Price: $9,000
Fading the "Big 4" (Adam Scott, Rickie Fowler, Justin Thomas and Sergio Garcia) can be risky, but with so many great options in the $7,500-$8,500 range, I like going with a balanced lineup this week. It's also a lot easier to fade those top four guys when Knox has just as good of an outlook despite being $2,000-$3,000 cheaper. You want a good statistical profile? He ranks 10th in driving accuracy, sixth in GIR percentage and fifth in birdie or better percentage. You want course history? He has finished second, third and 26th in his three appearances at PGA National. You want recent form? He has four Top-11 finishes in six starts this season. He'll likely be a popular play, but he's my pick to win. (Getty)