After improbably advancing to their tenth consecutive Champions League quarterfinal, Barcelona have been rewarded with the daunting task of visiting Juventus Stadium. The Italians are the best defensive team in Europe, and haven’t lost a Champions League game this season. The Vegas odds are close, with Barcelona listed as a narrow favorite for Tuesday’s first leg.
Here are the latest odds from Bovada:
Barcelona vs. Juventus Odds
Spread: Pick (Barcelona -115, Juventus -105)
Moneyline: Barcelona +160, Juventus +170, Draw +240
Total: Over 2.5 (-115), Under 2.5 (-105)
Prediction:
Both teams rested their key starters over the weekend, so Barcelona’s loss to Malaga is meaningless for this purpose. Since switching to a 3-4-3 against PSG, Luis Enrique seems to have flipped a switch for his squad. Barcelona scored at least three goals in three straight matches before the weekend, including an impressive 4-1 win over Sevilla.
The only problem is that Barca has had trouble taking their show on the road. And that’s bad, because Juventus are sensational at home.
Juventus enter Tuesday as the only team besides Real Madrid to be unbeaten in Champions League this season. At home, their Champions League unbeaten record stands at 17 games. They’ve only conceded two goals in the competition this season, and they were both on set pieces.
Barcelona are favored here, but I just can’t get the 4-0 loss in Paris in the previous round out of my head. Barcelona looked so sloppy in a hostile environment, and they’ve done little to convince that they will dominate the Italians. Juventus could easily head to Camp Nou with a lead, but I might be inclined to bet the draw here.
Best Bet: 1-1 draw (+525)
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