Atlanta at Carolina (-1.5)
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This game stinks. Both teams stink. Both teams’ offensive lines are horrid. Atlanta has way more playmakers and is a game out of first despite being 3-6! The Panthers look defeated as they showed little effort on Monday night and Cam Newton is clearly playing hurt.
THE PICK: Falcons (+1.5)
Cincinnati at New Orleans (-7)
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The Bengals have had 10 days to compose themselves and get over a thrashing at home to the hands of the Cleveland Browns. Andy Dalton was historically bad in Week 10 and he’ll have to be really great to keep up with the Saints on offense. New Orleans blew a game against San Francisco they had pretty much in the bag and will need this one to get back to .500 and keep their slim lead on the NFC South alive. You need a good defense to go in to the Superdome and beat Drew Brees. The Bengals don’t.
THE PICK: Saints (-7)
Tampa Bay at Washington (-7)
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Washington has beaten one time this season by more than seven points and it was Week 2 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Tampa Bay is just as bad as Jacksonville, but they’re still trying. Robert Griffin is still working off the rust and both teams are playing for pride more than playoffs at this point. What the hell, back the Bucs and hope McCown and the weapons he has can keep this game close.
THE PICK: Bucs (+7)
Denver (-9.5) at St. Louis
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Shaun Hill was named starter for the Rams in this game. The only way the Rams cover here is if Denver loses focus and allows them to stay close or Jeff Fisher digs deep in to the old bags of tricks on special teams and offense to keep Denver’s offense off the field. Peyton Manning is back in a dome and he’s been pretty damn good inside for his career.
THE PICK: Broncos (-9.5)
San Francisco (-4) at N.Y. Giants
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Both teams were on the road last week. One team won in the Superdome and the other was blown out in Seattle. San Francisco knows they need to keep winning in order to keep pace with Arizona and Seattle in the division as well as in the wild card race in the landscape of the NFC. But will the 1 pm start on the East Coast hurt the 49ers? They’ll more than likely start slow in this game. The Giants have the backdoor as well at home.
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Week 11 NFL Picks, Odds & Betting Lines