Patriots vs. Bills: Point Spread, Total & Prediction

Karlos Williams gave the Bills a spark in the running game last week. (Getty)

Karlos Williams gave the Bills a spark in the running game last week. (Getty)

Editor’s note: The odds below are courtesy of Heavy’s partners at OddsShark. Click here for more NFL odds and betting info at OddsShark.com.


The Bills and Patriots will meet at Ralph Wilson Stadium on Sunday looking to break the four-way tie for first place in the AFC East. There is little separating these two teams as sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com have this matchup as a pickem.

New England is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Ralph Wilson Stadium, according to the OddsShark NFL Database. The Bills won the most recent matchup in New England as Brady sat out most of the game, but haven’t beaten the Patriots in Buffalo since 2011.

Buffalo is 8-14-1 ATS and 2-21 SU in its last 23 games against New England, but confidence is high after last weekend. The Bills jumped out to a 24-0 lead against the Indianapolis Colts and held on for a 27-14 win. First-time starter Tyrod Taylor completed 14-of-19 passes for 195 yards and a touchdown for the Bills

New England looked impressive on offense in winning its Week 1 game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Brady threw for four touchdowns — three to Rob Gronkowski — and no interceptions while completing about 78 percent of his passes.

The Patriots have won 10 of the last 11 meetings between the two teams in Buffalo, and 26 of 29 overall since 2000.

The betting total for the matchup is set at 44 points. The total has gone over in six of the last eight meetings between the two teams, but under in seven of New England’s 10 games overall. The OddsShark Computer projection of 24.2-21.8 indicates Buffalo indicates it may be Rex Ryan celebrating loudly when the final horn sounds

Patriots vs. Bills Betting Pick: 21-17 Buffalo


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