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Houston Texans at New England Patriots
Line: Patriots (-15)
Pick Against the Spread: Patriots (-15)
Fifteen points is a lot, especially in a playoff game, but the Patriots beat the Texans by 27 with a third-round rookie under center back in Week 3, so they can certainly repeat that feat with arguably the best quarterback of all-time at the helm. If the Texans are going to keep this thing close, it'll be on the shoulders of the defense (fifth in the NFL in yards per play allowed) and the running game. It's not out of the question they keep it within two touchdowns, but at the end of the day, I'm not going to pick against Bill Belichick with an extra week of preparation at home against a quarterback that finished the regular season with more interceptions than passing touchdowns. I hate betting these kind of games because garbage time can ultimately be the deciding factor, but if I have to choose, I'm going with the Patriots. (Getty)
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