Celtics vs. Bucks Betting Guide: Odds, Analysis & Pick

Getty Giannis Antetokounmpo against the Detriot Pistons

The Milwaukee Bucks are 9.5-point favorites over the Boston Celtics on Thursday night at Fiserv Forum.

Boston (27-12) has lost three of their last five games after a 116-103 setback against the Pistons on Wednesday. Gordon Hayward led the way with 25 points on 11-of-15 shooting. Jaylen Brown added 24 points and 12 rebounds however he sprained his right thumb during the game and is questionable for Thursday night in Milwaukee. “I don’t think it’s too bad,” Brown told reporters. The Celtics are second in the NBA in scoring defense (104.6 points per game) and third in the league in free-throw percentage (73.7%).

Milwaukee (36-6) steamrolled the Knicks on Monday night as Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 37 points in just 21 minutes on the floor. The reigning MVP is averaging 34.5 points in his last two games since scoring a season-low 13 against the Kings on Friday. The Bucks have reached the 100-point mark in 66 straight games, which is the longest streak since the Mavericks had a 67-game run back in 1986. The Bucks defense leads the league in field-goal percentage (41.2%). Milwaukee also leads the league in scoring offense (119.4 points per game) and rebounds per game (51.8).

ESPN’s FPI gives Milwaukee a 78.6% chance of winning this game. We break down the line and offer our best bets and analysis for Thursday’s matchup between the Celtics and Bucks. 

Follow the Heavy on Winners Facebook page for the top picks, latest odds, and more!

Celtics vs. Bucks Game Details

Date: Thursday, January 16
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Location: Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee, Wisconsin)
Bucks -9.5
Total: 223

*All lines, odds & trends courtesy of FanDuel, Covers, & The Action Network

Key Injuries


  • SG Jaylen Brown (thumb) questionable
  • C Robert Williams III (hip) out
  • PF Jayson Tatum (knee) questionable


  • SG Donte DiVincenzo (finger) probable
  • SG Wesley Matthews (finger) probable
  • PG Frank Mason III (oblique) questionable

Betting Trends

  • Celtics are 27-12 SU and 22-15-2 ATS this season
  • Bucks are 36-6 SU and 24-18 ATS this season
  • Under 22-17 in Celtics games this season
  • Over is 21-20-1 in Bucks games this season

Analysis & Pick

This is bad timing for the Celtics to be playing the best team in the Eastern Conference. Milwaukee has been in cruise control since opening night and currently has the best record in the NBA. Boston won the last meeting as a 3.5-point home underdog back on October 30 with Kemba Walker going off for 32 points, 21 of which coming in the second half. The Celtics outscored the Bucks 74-47 over the game’s final 24 minutes. Milwaukee has won 34 of 38 games since that setback in Boston. The Bucks continue to play at the league’s fastest pace even though the over is only 21-20-1 in Milwaukee games this season. Considering Boston has been struggling on offense lately, and the Celtics exceptional defense, I’ll nibble on the under here in a game that should have all the playoff feels.

PICK: Under 224.5

READ NEXTNuggets vs. Warriors Betting Guide: Odds, Analysis & Pick

Follow Jared Smith on Twitter: @jaredleesmith

Comment Here
Notify of
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments