2020 NBA Draft Lottery Odds: Knicks’ Chances at No. 1?

The 14 NBA teams that missed the playoffs will have representatives on hand for the 2020 draft lottery on Thursday night.

Only the top-4 picks are decided by the lottery. After the top-4 picks are selected, the remainder of the teams remain in the reverse order of the standings. This means, Golden State, which had the worst record in the league, can come out of the lottery no worst than No. 5.

The Knicks have a nine percent chance at landing the No. 1 pick. They have a 9.2 percent chance at No. 2, 9.4 percent chance at No. 3, and 9.6 percent chance at No. 4.

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2020 NBA Lottery Odds  (% Chance at Each Pick)

TEAM	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Golden State	14	13.4	12.7	12	47.9
Cleveland	14	13.4	12.7	12	27.8	20
Minnesota	14	13.4	12.7	12	14.8	26	7
Atlanta	12.5	12.2	11.9	11.5	7.2	25.7	16.7	2.2
Detroit	10.5	10.5	10.6	10.5	2.2	19.6	26.7	8.7	0.6
New York	9	9.2	9.4	9.6		8.6	29.8	20.6	3.7	0.1
Chicago	7.5	7.8	8.1	8.5			19.7	34.1	12.9	1.3	>0.0
Charlotte	6	6.3	6.7	7.2				34.5	32.1	6.8	0.4	>0.0
Washington	4.5	4.8	5.2	5.7					50.7	25.9	3	0.1	>0.0
Phoenix	3	3.3	3.6	4						65.9	19	1.2	>0.0	>0.0
San Antonio	2	2.2	2.4	2.8							77.6	12.6	0.4	>0.0
Sacramento	1.3	1.4	1.6	1.8								86.1	7.6	0.1
New Orleans	1.2	1.3	1.5	1.7									92	2.3
Memphis	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7										97.6

*Washington actually finished with a worse record than Charlotte after going 1-7 in the seeding games. However, the bottom eight teams were locked into the top-8 lottery odds slots as part of the agreement to conduct the NBA bubble without them.

*Memphis’ pick will go to Boston unless they move up in the top-4

Here’s the full first-round:

1. 1. Golden State Warriors (14.0%)
2. 2. Cleveland Cavaliers (14.0%)
3. 3. Minnesota Timberwolves (14.0%)
4. 4. Atlanta Hawks (12.5%)
5. 5. Detroit Pistons (10.5%)
6. 6. New York Knicks (9.0%)
7. 7. Chicago Bulls (7.5%)
8. 8. Charlotte Hornets (6.0%)
9. 9. Washington Wizards (4.5%)
10. 10. Phoenix Suns (3.0%)
11. 11. San Antonio Spurs (2.0%)
12. 12. Sacramento Kings (1.3%)
13. 13. New Orleans Pelicans (1.2%)
14. 14. Boston Celtics* (from Grizzlies) (0.5%)
15. 15. Orlando Magic
16. 16. Portland Trail Blazers
17. 17. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Nets)
18. 18. Dallas Mavericks
19. 19. Brooklyn Nets (from Sixers)
20. 20. Miami Heat
21. 21. Philadelphia 76ers (from Thunder)
22. 22. Denver Nuggets (from Rockets)
23. 23. Utah Jazz
24. 24. Milwaukee Bucks (from Pacers)
25. 25. Oklahoma City Thunder (from Nuggets)
26. 26. Boston Celtics
27. 27. New York Knicks (from Clippers)
28. 28. Los Angeles Lakers
29. 29. Toronto Raptors
30. 30. Boston Celtics (from Bucks)
    

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Top Prospects in 2020 Draft

Here are the top prospects in the 2020 NBA Draft (via CBS Sports):

1	LaMelo Ball	Australia	–	PG	6-6	180
2	Killian Hayes	France	–	PG	6-5	192
3	Tyrese Haliburton	Iowa St.	Soph	PG	6-5	175
4	James Wiseman	Memphis	Fr	C	7-1	240
5	Anthony Edwards	Georgia	Fr	SG	6-5	225
6	Onyeka Okongwu	USC	Fr	C	6-9	245
7	Deni Avdija	Israel	–	SF	6-9	215
8	Patrick Williams	Florida St.	Fr	SF	6-8	225
9	Obi Toppin	Dayton	Soph	PF	6-9	220
10	Kira Lewis Jr.	Alabama	Soph	PG	6-3	165

There is no consensus No. 1 pick in this upcoming draft as there was last season with Zion Williamson. Some teams, like the Warriors, have been rumored to have Anthony Edwards on the top of their draft board.

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