Democrat Presidential Polls & Probabilities: Who’s Really Ahead?

Hillary Clinton, 92%

Former Secretatry of State, U.S. Senator and First Lady—Clinton certainly has a lot of political experience and credentials. She has had a big lead over the other candidates since the first Democratic debate on October 13 and the Democratic forum on November 6. It seems her momentum is unstoppable even with baracades, including the Benghazi email scandal. Although her campaign was considered to be in free fall during the summer, she was able to bounce back. Vice President Joe Biden deciding not to run for the nomination also helped her gain traction ahead of the other candidates. Clinton is estimated to have a 92 percent likelihood of getting the Democratic nomination in the prediction markets and is at a double-digit lead of 54.5 percent in national polls. Some of her endorsements come from Bennie Thompson of Mississippi, Gwen Moore of Wisconsin, and Tony Cárdenas of California. President Obama has of course supported his former Secretary of State as well, saying in a statement, "I think she would be an excellent president. She’s going to have some strong messages to deliver. [She can] handle herself very well around debates on foreign policy and [she] cares about working families.” (Getty)

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