As the first Democratic debates take place in Miami, the polls become more and more important as the party begins the journey to naming a nominee to compete against President Donald Trump in 2020. Joe Biden currently leads the field of candidates in most polls, while Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren are next in line. With the first primaries not taking place until February 2020, there is still plenty of time for candidates to gain or lose favor with voters.
Keep in mind, these polls were conducted prior to the first Democratic debate. The majority of candidates are hoping to use the debates as a catalyst to gain ground on Biden. The polls do play a role in the Democratic debates as 20 candidates made the minimum polling threshold required to participate.
According to Real Clear Politics, Biden has an average lead of 15.1 percentage points over Sanders and a 19.2 percentage point lead over Warren in the current polling numbers. It is important to note that Warren has gained ground in recent polls. Warren topped Sanders for second in polls conducted by the Economist and Monmouth.
Ultimately, the goal of the Democratic nomination process is to find a candidate who is best to compete against Trump. A recent Emerson poll showed the top three Democratic candidates led Trump in a potential 2020 matchup. Biden and Sanders led Trump by 10 percentage points, while Warren had an eight percentage point advantage.
Here is a look at the latest Democratic presidential polls.
Democratic Presidential Candidate Poll: Real Clear Politics Average
Real Clear Politics keeps a running average of the latest Democratic presidential candidate polls. The average includes data from eight polls. The Economist/YouGov poll conducted June 22-25, an Emerson poll conducted June 21-24, the Politico poll conducted June 17-23, the Monmouth poll conducted June 12-17, The Hill poll conducted June 14-15, the USA Today poll conducted June 11-15, the Fox News poll conducted June 9-12 and the Quinnipiac poll conducted June 6-10.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Joe Biden | 32.0 |
Bernie Sanders | 16.9 |
Elizabeth Warren | 12.8 |
Kamala Harris | 7.0 |
Pete Buttigieg | 6.6 |
Beto O’Rourke | 3.3 |
Cory Booker | 2.3 |
Andrew Yang | 1.3 |
Amy Klobuchar | 0.9 |
Tulsi Gabbard | 0.8 |
Julian Castro | 0.8 |
Tim Ryan | 0.6 |
Steve Bullock | 0.5 |
Kristen Gillibrand | 0.5 |
Democratic Presidential Candidate Poll: Five Thirty Eight/Morning Consult
Five Thirty Eight collaborated with Morning Consult to ask Democratic voters who they would likely vote for if today were the primary. The results were released prior to the first Democratic debate on June 26.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Joe Biden | 35.5 |
Bernie Sanders | 18.0 |
Elizabeth Warren | 12.1 |
Kamala Harris | 6.2 |
Pete Buttigieg | 6.2 |
Beto O’Rourke | 3.9 |
Cory Booker | 2.9 |
Andrew Yang | 1.0 |
Amy Klobuchar | 0.9 |
Julian Castro | 0.6 |
Kristen Gillibrand | 0.6 |
Tulsi Gabbard | 0.5 |
John Hickenlooper | 0.3 |
Bill de Blasio | 0.3 |
Tim Ryan | 0.3 |
Jay Inslee | 0.3 |
John Delaney | 0.2 |
Michael Bennet | 0.2 |
Marianne Williamson | 0.2 |
Eric Swalwell | 0.1 |
Democratic Presidential Candidate Poll: Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov poll was conducted June 22-25.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Joe Biden | 25 |
Elizabeth Warren | 19 |
Bernie Sanders | 15 |
Kamala Harris | 7 |
Pete Buttigieg | 6 |
Beto O’Rourke | 3 |
Tulsi Gabbard | 3 |
Cory Booker | 1 |
Andrew Yang | 1 |
Steve Bullock | 1 |
Kristen Gillibrand | 1 |
Julian Castro | 1 |
Amy Klobuchar | 0 |
Tim Ryan | 0 |
Democratic Presidential Candidate Poll: Emerson
The Emerson poll was conducted June 21-24. The margin of error is 4.5 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Joe Biden | 34 |
Bernie Sanders | 27 |
Elizabeth Warren | 14 |
Kamala Harris | 7 |
Pete Buttigieg | 6 |
Cory Booker | 3 |
Beto O’Rourke | 1 |
Andrew Yang | 1 |
Amy Klobuchar | 1 |
Kristen Gillibrand | 1 |
Tulsi Gabbard | 0 |
Julian Castro | 0 |
Tim Ryan | 0 |
Steve Bullock | 0 |
Democratic Presidential Candidate Poll: Politico/Morning Consult
The Politico/Morning Consult poll was conducted June 17-23. The margin of error is 1 percentage point.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Joe Biden | 38 |
Bernie Sanders | 19 |
Elizabeth Warren | 13 |
Pete Buttigieg | 7 |
Kamala Harris | 6 |
Beto O’Rourke | 4 |
Cory Booker | 3 |
Andrew Yang | 2 |
Amy Klobuchar | 1 |
Tulsi Gabbard | 1 |
Julian Castro | 1 |
Tim Ryan | 1 |
Steve Bullock | 1 |
Kristen Gillibrand | 1 |
Democratic Presidential Candidate Poll: Monmouth
The Monmouth poll was conducted on June 12-17. The margin of error is 5.6 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Joe Biden | 32 |
Elizabeth Warren | 15 |
Bernie Sanders | 14 |
Kamala Harris | 8 |
Pete Buttigieg | 5 |
Beto O’Rourke | 3 |
Cory Booker | 2 |
Andrew Yang | 2 |
Amy Klobuchar | 1 |
Tulsi Gabbard | 1 |
Julian Castro | 0 |
Tim Ryan | 0 |
Steve Bullock | 0 |
Kristen Gillibrand | 0 |
Democratic Presidential Candidate Poll: The Hill/HarrisX
The Hill/HarrisX poll was conducted June 14-15. The margin of error is 3.1 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Joe Biden | 35 |
Bernie Sanders | 13 |
Elizabeth Warren | 7 |
Beto O’Rourke | 6 |
Kamala Harris | 5 |
Pete Buttigieg | 4 |
Cory Booker | 3 |
Julian Castro | 2 |
Amy Klobuchar | 1 |
Tim Ryan | 1 |
Steve Bullock | 1 |
Kristen Gillibrand | 0 |
Andrew Yang | 0 |
Tulsi Gabbard | 0 |
Democratic Presidential Candidate Poll: USA Today/Suffolk
The USA Today/Suffolk poll was conducted on June 11-15. The margin of error is 3 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Joe Biden | 30 |
Bernie Sanders | 15 |
Elizabeth Warren | 10 |
Pete Buttigieg | 9 |
Kamala Harris | 8 |
Beto O’Rourke | 2 |
Cory Booker | 2 |
Andrew Yang | 1 |
Julian Castro | 1 |
Tim Ryan | 1 |
Steve Bullock | 1 |
Kristen Gillibrand | 0 |
Amy Klobuchar | 0 |
Tulsi Gabbard | 0 |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump Poll: Emerson
Emerson conducted a matchup poll on June 21-24 posing Joe Biden against President Donald Trump. The margin of error is 2.9 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Joe Biden | 55 |
Donald Trump | 45 |
Bernie Sanders vs. Donald Trump Poll: Emerson
Emerson conducted a matchup poll on June 21-24 posing Bernie Sanders against President Donald Trump. The margin of error is 2.9 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Bernie Sanders | 55 |
Donald Trump | 45 |
Elizabeth Warren vs. Donald Trump Poll: Emerson
Emerson conducted a matchup poll on June 21-24 posing Elizabeth Warren against President Donald Trump. The margin of error is 2.9 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Elizabeth Warren | 53 |
Donald Trump | 47 |