NFL Wild Card Predictions: Picks Against the Spread

Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers

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Line: PIT (-10)

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Pick Against the Spread: MIA (+10)

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Much like the Seahawks, the Steelers' offense has been a completely different beast at home this season, averaging 28.25 points per game compared to 21.62 away from Heinz Field. Ben Roethlisberger's splits have been especially stark: 70.80 completion percentage, 319.2 yards per game and a 20:5 TD:INT ratio at home vs. 59.36 completion percentage, 238.0 yards per game and a 9:8 TD:INT ratio on the road. As such, there's little reason to think the Steelers won't win this game. However, Miami is seventh in yards per rushing attempt, while Pittsburgh is just 19th defensively against the run, so I full expect the Dolphins to lean on Jay Ajayi in attempt to slow down the game and keep the Steelers' offense off the field. Pittsburgh ultimately advances, but Miami keeps it within single digits. (Getty)

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