Republican GOP Presidential Polls & Probabilities: Who’s Really Ahead?

Ted Cruz, 15 %

Adding some big-name donors to his campaign at the end of October, Cruz, a Harvard Law School alumni, has maintained his position just outside the top contenders as far as polls and prediction markets go. Cruz is ranking fourth in the polls, just after Rubio, and at 15 percent in the prediction markets. But his total campaign funds of about $64.9 million, although about half of Bush's total, could still carry him through the race for a while along with his grassroots supporters, according to the New York Times. Cruz told Politico in October he feels he has a strategic advantage as the race moves into three divisions, tea party conservatives, evangelicals and libertarians. He told the news site, "The players that were expected to be formidable in those lanes have not got the traction they had hoped. The most encouraging thing I would say is that I think three of the lanes are collapsing into one, which is the evangelical lane, the conservative tea party lane, and the libertarian lane are all collapsing into the conservative lane and we’re seeing those lanes unify behind our campaign." (Getty)