Nevada Republican Caucus Polls: Trump Has the Momentum

Donald Trump, GOP, Republican, nevada

Donald Trump Heads to Nevada After a South Carolina Victory. (Getty)

Donald Trump heads to Nevada after a decisive victory in the South Carolina Republican primary.

Marco Rubio edged out Ted Cruz in a tight race for second place. Jeb Bush, John Kasich and Ben Carson all had poor performances in the Palmetto State. Bush announced he is dropping out of the race after the South Carolina results were released.

The Republican candidates will immediately turn their attention to Nevada where the Nevada GOP caucus will take place on Tuesday, February 23. It is the Republicans last stop before Super Tuesday on March 1.

Early polls indicate Trump has a sizable advantage in Nevada. He will head there with two straight primary victories in New Hampshire and South Carolina.

In addition to solid numbers in Nevada, early polling in some of the Super Tuesday states look positive for Trump as well. The data shows a sizable lead in Alabama over Ted Cruz. Early polling in Oklahoma and Virginia also have Trump in the lead over the remaining candidates but by a narrower margin than Alabama.

Historically, polls preceding the Nevada caucuses have had a difficult time predicting the outcome, but it is worth noting that the polls prior to the 2016 Nevada Democratic caucus were very accurate.

Here’s a look at the early polls in Nevada:

RealClear Politics Polling Average

RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the polls from Nevada. The average includes the Gravis poll conducted February 14-15 and a CNN/ORC poll conducted February 10-15.

Candidate  Vote % 
 Trump 42
 Cruz 20
 Rubio 19
 Kasich 7
 Carson 6
 Bush 3

Gravis Poll

The Gravis poll was conducted February 14-15. It has a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

Candidate Vote %
 Trump 39
 Cruz 23
 Rubio 19
 Kasich 9
 Carson 5
 Bush 5


The CNN/ORC poll was conducted February 10-15. It has a margin of error of 6.5 percentage point.

Candidate Vote %
 Trump 45
 Rubio 19
 Cruz 17
 Carson 7
 Kasich 5
 Bush 1

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