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Nevada GOP Caucus Polls 2016: Donald Trump Has Large Lead

Ted Cruz, Donald Trump and Marco Rubio during a Republican debate. (Getty)

The Nevada Republican caucus comes right on the heels of the South Carolina primary. The caucus takes place Tuesday, February 23 just a few days after South Carolina. It marks the last caucus or primary before Super Tuesday on March 1.

Donald Trump heads to Nevada after a South Carolina primary victory. Marco Rubio edged out Ted Cruz for second place in the Palmetto State. Jeb Bush announced he is dropping out of the race after a poor showing in South Carolina.

Early Nevada polls have Trump with a sizable advantage in the state. Nevada has historically had a low turnout which makes the voting hard to predict prior to the caucus. The situation is fluid as the caucus could end up differently than the early projections.

Here’s a look at the latest GOP polls in Nevada:


RealClear Politics Polling Average

RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the polls from Nevada. The average includes the Gravis poll conducted February 14-15 and a CNN/ORC poll conducted February 10-15.

Candidate  Vote % 
 Trump 42
 Cruz 20
 Rubio 19
 Kasich 7
 Carson 6
 Bush 3

Gravis Poll

The Gravis poll was conducted February 14-15. It has a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

Candidate Vote %
 Trump 39
 Cruz 23
 Rubio 19
 Kasich 9
 Carson 5
 Bush 5

CNN/ORC Poll

The CNN/ORC poll was conducted February 10-15. It has a margin of error of 6.5 percentage point.

Candidate Vote %
 Trump 45
 Rubio 19
 Cruz 17
 Carson 7
 Kasich 5
 Bush 1


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With the Nevada Republican caucus on the horizon, we take an early look at the polling numbers.