Just a few weeks remain before the next President of the United States is decided. The latest polls show Hillary Clinton with a lead on Donald Trump, but the most recent polls do not show Clinton’s lead widening.
It appears Trump has sustained Clinton’s surge after the Billy Bush tape followed by a number of women coming forward claiming Trump had assaulted them.
The latest polls feature a wide range of results. Clinton’s lead ranges from 2 to 13 percentage points depending on the poll. An LA Times/USC poll shows Trump with a 1 percentage point lead on Clinton. Accoring to RealClear Politics, Clinton has an average lead of 5.6 percentage points.
FiveThirtyEight’s Polls-plus forecast gives Clinton an 82.3 percent chance of winning the election. PredictWise gives Clinton a 90 percent chance of winning in November.
Here’s a look at the latest polls.
RealClear Politics Average
RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the Trump vs. Clinton polls. The average includes data from 12 polls. The IBD/TIPP Tracking poll conducted October 20-25, the LA Times/USC Tracking poll conducted October 19-25, the ABC News Tracking poll conducted October 21-24, the Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted October 20-24, the USA Today/Suffolk poll conducted October 20-24, the Associated Press poll conducted October 20-24, the Gravis poll conducted October 20-23, the CNN/ORC poll conducted October 20-23, the NBC News/SM poll conducted October 17-23, the Quinnipiac poll conducted October 17-18, the Economist poll conducted October 15-18 and the FOX News poll conducted October 15-17.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Hillary Clinton | 48.4 |
Donald Trump | 42.8 |
IBD/TIPP Tracking
The IBD/TIPP Tracking poll was conducted October 20-25. It has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Hillary Clinton | 43 |
Donald Trump | 41 |
LA Times/USC Tracking
The LA Times/USC Tracking poll was conducted October 19-25. It has a margin of error of 4.5 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 45 |
Hillary Clinton | 44 |
ABC News Tracking
The ABC News Tracking poll was conducted October 21-24. It has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Hillary Clinton | 51 |
Donald Trump | 43 |
Reuters/Ipsos
The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted October 20-24. It has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Hillary Clinton | 43 |
Donald Trump | 37 |
USA Today/Suffolk
The USA Today/Suffolk poll was conducted October 20-24. It has a margin of error of 3.0 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Hillary Clinton | 49 |
Donald Trump | 39 |
CNN/ORC
The CNN/ORC poll was conducted October 20-23. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Hillary Clinton | 51 |
Donald Trump | 45 |
Associated Press-GFK
The Associated Press-GFK poll was conducted October 20-24.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Hillary Clinton | 54 |
Donald Trump | 41 |
Gravis
The Gravis poll was conducted October 20-23. It has a margin of error of 2.1 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Hillary Clinton | 50 |
Donald Trump | 50 |
NBC News/SM
The NBC News/SM poll was conducted October 17-23. It has a margin of error of 1.0 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Hillary Clinton | 50 |
Donald Trump | 44 |
Quinnipiac
The Quinnipiac poll was conducted October 17-18. It has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Hillary Clinton | 50 |
Donald Trump | 44 |
Economist/YouGov
The Economist/YouGov poll was conducted October 15-18. It has a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Hillary Clinton | 47 |
Donald Trump | 43 |
FOX News
The FOX News poll was conducted October 15-17. It has a margin of error of 3.0 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Hillary Clinton | 49 |
Donald Trump | 42 |