Live Arizona Senate Election Results: Mark Kelly Projected Winner

Arizona has a projected winner in the U.S. Senate race that pitted the incumbent, Martha McSally, against Democratic challenger Mark Kelly. Late on November 5, Decision Desk HQ projected that Kelly had secured the victory in the Grand Canyon State.

Polls were open between 6 a.m. and 7 p.m. on election day, but more than half of Arizona’s registered voters cast ballots before November 3. Approximately 2.6 million people cast their ballots early, according to AZ Family.

Follow the 2020 election results courtesy of Heavy’s partners at Decision Desk HQ below:

See the Most Recent Senate Election Results From Arizona & the Map of Votes Across the State Here

Results in the race for Arizona’s contested Senate seat can be viewed in the widget below, which updates in real-time. Hovering over each county will show localized results.

Click here for the dynamic elections data.

Voters are also keeping an eye on the U.S. House of Representatives. Arizona has nine representatives in Congress. All of the incumbents, which included five Democrats and four Republicans, stood for re-election in 2020. 270toWin predicted that seven of the nine incumbents were expected to have relatively easy paths to victory: Democrats Ann Kirkpatrick, Raul Grijalva, Ruben Gallego and Greg Stanton, and Republicans Paul Gosar, Andy Biggs and Debbie Lesko.

In the 6th congressional district, Republican Representative David Schweikert was considered vulnerable in his contest against Democrat Hiral Tipirneni. Schweikert admitted to misusing campaign finances and the House Ethics Committee formally reprimanded him earlier this year.

In the 1st congressional district, Democratic Representative Tom O’Halleran was seeking a third term in a district that, according to the Arizona Republic, has become increasingly conservative. He faced a challenge from Republican Tiffany Shedd, who is a farmer and lawyer.

The results for the House races can be viewed below by clicking on Arizona on the map or by selecting Arizona from the dropdown menu. Hovering over the district will show the results for each race.

Click here for the dynamic elections data.

In the presidential election between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden, Arizona was considered a toss-up in the final days of the race. The Arizona presidential election results can be viewed in the widget below, which updates in real-time. Hovering over each county will show localized results.

Click here for the dynamic elections data.

Polls Showed Kelly Leading McSally Ahead of Election Day

Getty Democratic challenger Mark Kelly and Republican U.S. Senator Martha McSally debated on October 6, 2020, in Phoenix, Arizona.

Kelly appeared to have the advantage heading into Election Day. An average of recent polls compiled by RealClearPolitics showed Kelly leading McSally by an average of 4 points.

A CNN poll released on October 31 showed 52% of likely voters preferred Kelly, compared to 45% who preferred McSally. When broken down by demographics, that poll showed Kelly leading among men, women and minority voters, while McSally maintained the edge with white voters.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on October 28 also had Kelly ahead of McSally by 7 points. Pollsters asked voters to identify the “most important problem facing Arizona today.” 42% of respondents identified the coronavirus as the most pressing problem. 21% named the economy and job creation as their top choice. Health care was chosen as the most important problem by 8% of respondents.

The 2018 Midterms Marked the First Time Arizona Had Elected a Democrat to the Senate in 30 Years

Getty People deposit their mail-in ballots for the US presidential election at a ballot collection box in Phoenix, Arizona, on October 18, 2020.

Arizona has long been a reliable red state. The state has consistently selected the Republican candidate for president for more than 60 years; the only outlier was in 1996 when Arizona voted for President Bill Clinton.

The Senate has followed a similar trajectory. As the Economist pointed out, Arizona had elected only Republicans to the U.S. Senate since 1988. That was why Democrat Kyrsten Sinema’s victory in the 2018 midterms was considered monumental. Sinema defeated McSally with 50 percent of the vote. (That race was to fill the seat left vacant by Jeff Flake, who chose to retire).

But McSally followed Sinema to the Senate, anyway. Arizona Governor Doug Ducey selected her to serve the remainder of John McCain’s term. Senator Jon Kyl had temporarily filled the seat following McCain’s death in August 2018. As CNN reported at the time, McSally and Sinema also made history as the first women ever to represent Arizona in the Senate.

Follow the 2020 Presidential Race Results From Across the Country & the Updated Electoral College Map Below

Heavy has partnered with Decision Desk HQ for live election results from across the country. Those results can be seen below:

Click here for the dynamic elections data.

Decision Desk HQ is also tracking the race to 270 electoral college votes, the number needed for either Trump or Biden to secure the presidency. Those results are available below:

Click here for the dynamic elections data.

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