Democratic Polls for Feb. 3: State of the Race in New Hampshire & Nevada

Hillary Clinton polls, Hillary Clinton New Hampshire, Hillary Clinton South Carolina

Hillary Clinton is playing catch-up in New Hampshire after holding Bernie Sanders in Iowa. (Getty)

Monday night’s Iowa caucus is behind us, and the focus turns to January 9’s New Hampshire primary. While Hillary Clinton managed to hold off Bernie Sanders in Iowa, Sanders has maintained a substantial lead in New Hampshire. Moving on to South Carolina and Nevada, though, the advantage returns to Hillary, as does the national lead.

Delegate Count (2,382 Needed for Nomination)

  • Hillary Clinton: 26
  • Bernie Sanders: 21
  • Here’s a look at the state of the race:


    New Hampshire

    Bernie Sanders polls, Bernie Sanders New Hampshire, Bernie Sanders Nevada

    Bernie Sanders campaigns in Iowa, where he holds a substantial polling lead. (Getty)

    The UMass-Lowell tracking poll shows a 29-point lead for Sanders, 61 percent to 32 percent. That’s only narrowed 1 point from his lead on Monday, before the Iowa caucus, though big events usually take a short while to process in the polls. Sanders leads in the RealClearPolitics aggregation of recent polls by 17.5 points, with 55.5 percent to Clinton’s 38, with O’Malley still holding 2.2 percent due to the lack of recent polling.

    New Hampshire Polling Averages (by RealClearPolitics)

    • Bernie Sanders: 55.5%
    • Hillary Clinton: 38%

    FiveThirtyEight, which utilizes factors beyond polls in its “polls-plus” predictions, holds Sanders’s chances in the state at 91 percent, with Hillary at 9. Its polls-only forecast, which doesn’t use extra factors but weights the polls according to methodology and past accuracy, puts Sanders all the way at 96 percent.

    FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast for New Hampshire

  • Bernie Sanders: 91%
  • Hillary Clinton: 9%
  • Click the “next page” button below for New Hampshire and national polling roundup, as well as a discussion of today’s news.


    5 Comments

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    5 Comments

    cindynsg

    1. So far with this style format, Bernie has gone first. This has allowed for Hillary to have answers to his comments.
    2. No one has dared to ask how or if either candidate examples of what they will to keep corporate interests out of supreme court, EPA, FDA, USDA, AMA. (Presently they all have appointed ties due to election funding policies). They run our country. How will Hillary pay back the millions she has received in campaign funds?
    3. Debates should be free to view in all formats for ALL. Presently one must have a cable provider, sat dish, FIOS etc. This cuts a percentage of people out of getting educated on the candidates. This is like tighting the voting laws to make it harder to vote. A low turnout is good for them, but not for a fair election. I believe that is why Debbie Wasserman only scheduled 6 debates on the worst possible times. But now that Hillary is down at NH, funny how things change.

    Carol

    CNN post town hall talk is so out of touch of the American working class!!!

    Denise

    I agree! It seems like they tilt towards Hillary and I thought Bernie was fabulous tonight. Hillary was uncomfortable it made me uncomfortable. Just my opinion

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