Latest Presidential Polls 2016: Trump Trailing Clinton

donald trump, presidential polls, who is ahead winning, hillary clinton, gary johnson, jill stein

Donald Trump is looking to move up in the polls. (Getty)

The polls reflected favorably for Donald Trump right after the Republican National Convention. Since then, it has been downhill for the Trump campaign.

According to RealClear Politics, Trump trails Clinton in the latest matchup polls by an average of 6.7 percentage points. While Clinton’s lead has not grown in the latest batch of polls, her lead on Trump is holding steady.

After months of displaying confidence on the campaign trail, Trump has alluded to the possibility of losing the election in recent weeks. He spoke about the idea in a CNBC interview.

“At the end, it’s either going to work, or I’m going to, you know, I’m going to have a very, very nice, long vacation,” Trump told CNBC (via the Associated Press).

He admitted to a group of ministers in Florida that the campaign is facing a challenge, and pointed to his bluntness as potentially costing him in November.

“It could cost us the Supreme Court,” Trump told the ministers (via Associated Press).

Multiple prediction models show Clinton with a great chance to win the election. FiveThirtyEight’s polls-plus model gives Clinton a 76.7 percent chance to win. The New York Times’ model gives her an 88 percent chance of winning in the fall.

Here’s a look at the latest polls.


RealClear Politics Average

RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the Trump vs. Clinton polls. The average includes data from six polls. The LA Times/USC poll conducted August 9-15, the NBC News/SM poll conducted August 8-14, the Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted August 6-10, the Bloomberg poll conducted August 5-8, the Economist/YouGov poll was conducted August 6-9 and the ABC News/Washington Post poll conducted August 1-4.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 47.7
Donald Trump 41.0

LA Times/USC

The Los Angeles Times/USC poll was conducted August 9-15.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 46
Donald Trump 42

NBC News/SM

The NBC News/SM poll was conducted August 8-14. It has a margin of error of 1.2 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 50
Donald Trump 41

Reuters/Ipsos

The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted August 6-10. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 42
Donald Trump 36

Bloomberg

The Bloomberg poll was conducted August 5-8. It has a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 50
Donald Trump 44

Economist/YouGov

The Economist/YouGov poll was conducted August 6-9. It has a margin of error of 4.2 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 48
Donald Trump 41

ABC News/Washington Post

The ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted August 1-4. It has a margin of error of 4.0 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 50
Donald Trump 42

NBC News/SM Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

The NBC News/SM three-way poll was conducted August 8-14. It has a margin of error of 1.2 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 43
Donald Trump 37
Gary Johnson 11

NBC News/SM Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

The NBC News/SM four-way poll was conducted August 8-14. It has a margin of error of 1.2 percentage points.

CANDIDATE VOTE%
Hillary Clinton 43
Donald Trump 37
Gary Johnson 11
Jill Stein 4

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12 Comments

Black KKK

this cracker is going to lose there all evil and hilary!!!!!

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