Donald Trump’s lead in Florida appears to be growing based on the early polling numbers. Trump has a double digit lead over Marco Rubio in most of the early polls conducted within the last week.
A loss for Rubio in his home state of Florida likely signals the end of his chances to win the nomination. Florida’s 99 delegates will be awarded to the winner of Tuesday’s primary regardless of his margin of victory. It is unlike previous states that have divided the delegates proportionally based on the results.
Here’s a look at the latest Florida Republican pollls.
RealClear Politics Average
RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the Florida polls. The average includes data from eleven polls. The Quinnipiac poll conducted March 8-13, the Monmouth poll conducted March 11-13, the CBS News/YouGov poll conducted March 9-11, the NBC/WSJ/Marist poll conducted March 4-10, the Florida Atlantic University poll conducted March 8-11, the Florida Times-Union poll conducted March 9, the Trafalgar Group poll conducted March 8-9, the WTSP/Mason-Dixon poll conducted March 7-9, the Suffolk University poll conducted March 7-9, the FOX News poll conducted March 5-8 and the News 13/SurveyUSA poll conducted March 4-6.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 42.1 |
Marco Rubio | 23.5 |
Ted Cruz | 18.9 |
John Kasich | 9.5 |
Quinnipiac
The Quinnipiac poll was conducted March 8-13. It has a margin of error of 4 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 46 |
Marco Rubio | 22 |
Ted Cruz | 14 |
John Kasich | 10 |
Monmouth
The Monmouth poll was conducted March 11-13. It has a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 44 |
Marco Rubio | 27 |
Ted Cruz | 17 |
John Kasich | 9 |
CBS News/YouGov
The CBS News/YouGov poll was conducted March 9-11. It has a margin of error of 4.8 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 44 |
Ted Cruz | 24 |
Marco Rubio | 21 |
John Kasich | 9 |
NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist
The NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll was conducted March 4-10. It has a margin of error of 4.3 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 43 |
Marco Rubio | 22 |
Ted Cruz | 21 |
John Kasich | 9 |
Florida Atlantic University
The Florida Atlantic University poll was conducted March 8-11. It has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 44 |
Marco Rubio | 21 |
Ted Cruz | 21 |
John Kasich | 9 |
WTSP/Mason-Dixon
The WTSP/Mason-Dixon poll was conducted March 7-9. It has a margin of error of 3.8 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 36 |
Marco Rubio | 30 |
Ted Cruz | 17 |
John Kasich | 8 |
Florida Times-Union
The Florida Times-Union poll was conducted March 9. It has a margin of error of 4 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 43 |
Marco Rubio | 24 |
Ted Cruz | 21 |
John Kasich | 10 |
Trafalgar Group
The Trafalgar Group poll was conducted March 8-9. It has a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 42 |
Marco Rubio | 23 |
Ted Cruz | 21 |
John Kasich | 11 |
Suffolk University
The Suffolk University poll was conducted March 7-9. It has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 36 |
Marco Rubio | 27 |
Ted Cruz | 19 |
John Kasich | 10 |
FOX News
The FOX News poll was conducted March 5-8. It has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 43 |
Marco Rubio | 20 |
Ted Cruz | 16 |
John Kasich | 10 |
News 13/SurveyUSA
The News 13/SurveyUSA poll was conducted March 4-6. It has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 42 |
Marco Rubio | 22 |
Ted Cruz | 17 |
John Kasich | 10 |