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Republican GOP Presidential Polls & Probabilities: Who’s Really Ahead?

Mike Huckabee, 1 %

Caught up in some recent drama with his association with the controversial Duggar family and anti-gay Kim Davis, not to mention some prejudice comments, Huckabee, along with Christie, failed to meet the 2.5 percent average polling threshold needed to make the "big debate" Tuesday night. Huckabee (3.3) is beating Christie (2.7), by a hair, in the horserace. Huckabee tweeted about being bumped from the main debate by writing, "We are months away from actual votes being cast and neither the pundits nor the press will decide this election, the people will." But Huckabee's prediction market rating is at 1 percent and his third quarter was a weak one as far as raising money. His campaign raked in $1.2 million. His daughter, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, is managing his campaign and speaks about her father previously winning Iowa in 2008. In preparation for this year's quickly approaching Iowa caucus, she says Huckabee wants to focus on the working class, which most Republican candidates have a hard time connecting to. “Iowans don’t like to have a one night stand, the courtship is long and it’s a process. Making sure there is an emphasis on American jobs and manufacturing jobs and protecting those individuals," she told Breitbart. (Getty)

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The fourth GOP debate is over but the race for the nomination continues. People often turn to the polls but, here, we look at prediction markets in comparison.