There are over two months and multiple GOP primaries remaining before the California primary on June 7. While California will be on the last GOP primary day, it is on the radar of every Republican candidate given it has the most delegates at stake with 172.
California uses a hybrid system to distribute the delegates among candidates making the margin of victory very important in the California race. Trump has the lead in the delegate count with 752 delegates compared to Ted Cruz’s 463 delegates.
A good performance in California could allow Cruz to make up some ground in the delegate race given the amount of delegates at stake. The most recent poll conducted by the Los Angeles Times shows Trump with just a 1 percentage point lead on Cruz.
Here’s a look at the latest California Republican polls.
RealClear Politics Average
RealClear Politics keeps a running average of the California polls. The average includes data from four polls. The LA Times poll conducted March 16-23, the PPIC poll conducted March 6-15, the Landslide/NSON poll conducted March 9-10 and the Smith Johnson Research poll conducted March 7-9.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 34.3 |
Ted Cruz | 26.0 |
John Kasich | 15.8 |
Los Angeles Times
The Los Angeles Times poll was conducted March 16-23. It has a margin of error of 5.5 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 36 |
Ted Cruz | 35 |
John Kasich | 14 |
PPIC
The PPIC poll was conducted March 6-15. It has a margin of error of 7.3 percentage points.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 38 |
Ted Cruz | 27 |
John Kasich | 14 |
Landslide/NSON
The Landslide/NSON poll was conducted March 9-10. It has a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points. Marco Rubio was still in the race at the time the poll was conducted.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 38 |
Ted Cruz | 22 |
John Kasich | 20 |
Marco Rubio | 10 |
Smith Johnson Research
The Smith Johnson Research poll was conducted March 7-9. It has a margin of error of 4 percentage points. Marco Rubio was still in the race at the time the poll was conducted.
CANDIDATE | VOTE% |
Donald Trump | 25 |
Ted Cruz | 20 |
Marco Rubio | 18 |
John Kasich | 15 |